Betting: Makabu vs Bellew

So the fight is starting in a couple of hours, and i cant decide whether to bet on Makabu by KO or just being the winner. Ive been following Makabu for a while and hes definetly the real deal, has a good chin, big power, creative angles. His weaknesses are that he is such a slow starter and he gets hit pretty easy. In his last fight little over a year ago he KOd Thabiso Mchunu, who is alot better then Bellew and Mchunu has a similar style to Mayweather and is very tricky and awkward To add to that Makabu seems like a very confident guy, and Bellew wont intimidate him at all, Makabu has been waiting for this oppurtunity for a long time, which is why i think he was so light on the scales (196.8 lbs) cause the dude is a beast in training, kinda like Bradley in the way he almost overtrains for fights, meanwhile Bellew looked flabby and in worse condition then his last fight vs Masternak Who will you be betting on? as i see it, Bellew's only chance of winning is by getting an early KO between round 1-3, after that its too late, Makabu is a slowstarter and adjust as the rounds go by, and hes arguably stronger in the later rounds then the beginning, he has supreme conditioning and stamina. So it wont be the case of Anthony Crolla vs Ismael Barroso, where Barroso was completely gassed halfway thru, Makabu will be looking to chop Bellews head off later in the fight, and if Bellew got pimpslapped by Adonis i dont see no way in hell he can beat Makabu