Pacquiao/cotto predictions analysis

I respect Manny for his career and meeting every challenge Sure you do. But your avatar says otherwise. 100% free webcam site! | Awesome chicks and it is absolutely free! | Watch free live sex cam - easy as 1-2-3

I can see Pacquiao winning the first couple rounds as Cotto adjusts to his speed. I see Cotto winning more and more rounds as it gets to the mid way point then finishes Pacquiao in the 9th or 10th round.

I agree with the analysis. The only factor that could derail the Cotto train is a bad cut. I have no doubt that Pacquiao can win this fight; however, unless Cotto is diminished during the fight someway, somehow, Pacquiao will have to be better than regular Pacquiao to beat Cotto. Strength matters. Cotto is a strong fighter. He's not just a strong fighter, he's one the strongest fighters at 147. This wouldn't be such a problem for Pacquiao if he weren't so good in so many other categories. He has the highest level of technical soundness in his punches, and even though his left hook is his bread and butter, he can tag you with overhand/lead rights, uppercuts, and very stiff jabs. His ability to adapt to his opponent is second to none, his timing is excellent, his defense- though often maligned- is good, and his chin is rock solid. If Cotto were a Randal Bailey type strong, I wouldn't feel so confident in his ability to beat Pacquiao, but Cotto is tried-and-true elite welterweight in many categories. Pacquiao is going to have to bring his A+ game to beat him.

What is funny is most people forget that or won't admit it ever happened. CLOTTEY has NEVER been knocked out or down BEFORE that fight. The Problem??? Cotto will be facing Pacquiao who was known to KO even that Granite of all chins like DLH, Barrera & Morales. Pac also is not going to KO Clottey. He's going to KO Cotto!!!

I was talking to my 25 yr old son and asked him how his friends have this fight. He said many of his friends and co-workers are picking Pacquiao. But he also said that almost all are picking Pacquiao because they don't know anything about Cotto and they are picking pacquiao because of the hatton and oscar fight. If that is the case of most fans and most of the ones that bigpoppapump mentioned in his post of "predictions", then many of them are going to be very surprised. I'm a cotto fan but thought that cotto should've avoided Clottey because he makes the winners look bad. I respect Manny for his career and meeting every challenge, just feel that fighting a 29 yr old who is a true welterweight who has fought Mosley, clottey and margarito is a mistake and sometimes fighters need to be grounded and realize that they cannot beat EVERYONE(Tyson, leonard, chavez, etc). Pacquiao is very fast but the body shots that will come his way will slow him to the point that he will be on the same level (speed) as cotto and that is when the 2 fighters will be separated. Right now i see Pacquiao winning first couple of rounds until Cotto feels him out and as always, Pacquiao will leave himself open and Cotto will take advantage of that and hurt him. Hopefully Roach is smart to protect his fighter and not let Pacquiao get too hurt. Right now i see a cotto win with a 8th round TKO but boxing is funny and if pacquiao does win i'll give him every credit in the world. Pacquiao is a very good fighter, an ATG, just feel he should've not ventured into this weight class. Wish both fighters the best of luck. What was Barrera known for before the fight with Pacquiao??? Barrera was a Known Body Puncher especially the Left Hook to the Body. Did barrera ever landed that left hook?? Watch the 2 fights with Pac & get how many landed. Cotto's a left hooker. DLH's a Left hooker, Hatton's the same, David diaz the same, I can go on & on.... and you will see that all Left hooker dominant fighters that Pac has fought... Pac Dominates!!! It's very hard for Left hookers to land that Left hook on Pac. I been saying this for 4 years now. I see Cotto missing his left hooks on Pac all night long. Pac will end it around 9 rds as what Roach said. But My pick now is as early as rd 7 or 8.

That's why I get upset when casual people just pick Pacquiao based on his last two fights. It's not that I don't give Pacquiao a chance, but it's dumb to think that Cotto can be quickly dismissed. Pacquiao is mainstream and has been in two extremely high profile fights, with huge results. Cotto's last three fights weren't mainstream, less impressive than Pacquiao and he's looked "bad" in comparison to Pacquiao. So celebrities and athletes are just going to pick Pacquiao...no suprise there. Bert Sugar's take on the fight is somerthing more interesting. He's got Pacquiao, but on cuts. If there's any way Pacquiao beats Cotto, it's probably on that, as Cotto does tend to cut easily. My take, as I've said (check my post history): Pacquiao is looking more impressive each time out, he's quick, he hits hard, he throws many shots. Cotto SEEMS to tire (note that he SEEMS), gets cut easily, and eats a lot of power punches. He was caught by Mosley and several times by a slower-punching Margarito (regardless of plaster). Plus, the psychological aspect, he's coming back to the scene of the crime in the MGM. I've said it before...way before all these countdown shows and whatnot. That could be in the back of his mind. Regardless of Cotto's apparent weaknesses and Pacquiao's ever-growing aura of invincibility, I actually expect Cotto to pull off this upset and make these celebrities and know-it-alls look bad. :rofl: Let's go Cotto! Good post and I agree with you 100%...you have to use facts and reason in predicting a winner in this fight. I'm putting my money on Cotto as soon as we get there Thursday night. Once the money starts coming in it will make the odds more even simply because of the money coming in..This is enough to make the "so called' betting experts making the odds more even... well said

Since Pac's amateur days, i've only picked against him once on his opponent and that was with Dela Hoya. I'm no fan of him, i just see where to put my money and so far i've been doing good.

I was talking to my 25 yr old son and asked him how his friends have this fight. He said many of his friends and co-workers are picking Pacquiao. But he also said that almost all are picking Pacquiao because they don't know anything about Cotto and they are picking pacquiao because of the hatton and oscar fight. If that is the case of most fans and most of the ones that bigpoppapump mentioned in his post of "predictions", then many of them are going to be very surprised. I'm a cotto fan but thought that cotto should've avoided Clottey because he makes the winners look bad. I respect Manny for his career and meeting every challenge, just feel that fighting a 29 yr old who is a true welterweight who has fought Mosley, clottey and margarito is a mistake and sometimes fighters need to be grounded and realize that they cannot beat EVERYONE(Tyson, leonard, chavez, etc). Pacquiao is very fast but the body shots that will come his way will slow him to the point that he will be on the same level (speed) as cotto and that is when the 2 fighters will be separated. Right now i see Pacquiao winning first couple of rounds until Cotto feels him out and as always, Pacquiao will leave himself open and Cotto will take advantage of that and hurt him. Hopefully Roach is smart to protect his fighter and not let Pacquiao get too hurt. Right now i see a cotto win with a 8th round TKO but boxing is funny and if pacquiao does win i'll give him every credit in the world. Pacquiao is a very good fighter, an ATG, just feel he should've not ventured into this weight class. Wish both fighters the best of luck. BOLD = Pactards.......they don't speak on behalf of all Pinoys.....sometimes they make me cuss at my own peoples.....lol!

That's why I get upset when casual people just pick Pacquiao based on his last two fights. It's not that I don't give Pacquiao a chance, but it's dumb to think that Cotto can be quickly dismissed. Pacquiao is mainstream and has been in two extremely high profile fights, with huge results. Cotto's last three fights weren't mainstream, less impressive than Pacquiao and he's looked "bad" in comparison to Pacquiao. So celebrities and athletes are just going to pick Pacquiao...no suprise there. Bert Sugar's take on the fight is somerthing more interesting. He's got Pacquiao, but on cuts. If there's any way Pacquiao beats Cotto, it's probably on that, as Cotto does tend to cut easily. My take, as I've said (check my post history): Pacquiao is looking more impressive each time out, he's quick, he hits hard, he throws many shots. Cotto SEEMS to tire (note that he SEEMS), gets cut easily, and eats a lot of power punches. He was caught by Mosley and several times by a slower-punching Margarito (regardless of plaster). Plus, the psychological aspect, he's coming back to the scene of the crime in the MGM. I've said it before...way before all these countdown shows and whatnot. That could be in the back of his mind. Regardless of Cotto's apparent weaknesses and Pacquiao's ever-growing aura of invincibility, I actually expect Cotto to pull off this upset and make these celebrities and know-it-alls look bad. :rofl: Let's go Cotto!

I was talking to my 25 yr old son and asked him how his friends have this fight. He said many of his friends and co-workers are picking Pacquiao. But he also said that almost all are picking Pacquiao because they don't know anything about Cotto and they are picking pacquiao because of the hatton and oscar fight. If that is the case of most fans and most of the ones that bigpoppapump mentioned in his post of "predictions", then many of them are going to be very surprised. I'm a cotto fan but thought that cotto should've avoided Clottey because he makes the winners look bad. what? cotto got the fight because of how he looked in the clottey fight... if cotto looked invincible against clottey, do you think pac/roach would fight cotto? I respect Manny for his career and meeting every challenge, just feel that fighting a 29 yr old who is a true welterweight who has fought Mosley, clottey and margarito is a mistake and sometimes fighters need to be grounded and realize that they cannot beat EVERYONE(Tyson, leonard, chavez, etc). Pacquiao is very fast but the body shots that will come his way will slow him to the point that he will be on the same level (speed) as cotto and that is when the 2 fighters will be separated. Right now i see Pacquiao winning first couple of rounds until Cotto feels him out and as always, Pacquiao will leave himself open and Cotto will take advantage of that and hurt him. Hopefully Roach is smart to protect his fighter and not let Pacquiao get too hurt. Right now i see a cotto win with a 8th round TKO but boxing is funny and if pacquiao does win i'll give him every credit in the world. Pacquiao is a very good fighter, an ATG, just feel he should've not ventured into this weight class. Wish both fighters the best of luck. paraphrase: cotto is a real WW and has no business losing to a former 106 lber

Don't get me wrong, I love to watch manny fight and he is a good guy. Manny is very fast and the punches come in bunches and that is a big plus for him in previous fights. With Hatton, hatton fought a stupid fight. He did not fight like the hatton that fought floyd. Hatton came into fight scared and left himself so open that my 10 yr old neice could've tagged him. When you watch cotto he is not fast but handles fast fighters and does not waste punches. When i see fans knocking cotto or pacquiao, they are fans who don't appreciate boxing. Indeed, I think we should judge the fight, not the boxers.

I agree with this analysis. I think that Pac may have bitten off more than he could chew on this one. I have been pondering this for weeks now and I think that if PAC get hit flush by Cotto then he's going down. Cotto can punch. I originally thought that PAC will be to fast but now I am thinking that Cotto may not be as shot as we think he is. If he is a little shot then he looses Maybe its all the hype behind PAC but I think this fight is headed for an upset. Don't get me wrong, I love to watch manny fight and he is a good guy. Manny is very fast and the punches come in bunches and that is a big plus for him in previous fights. With Hatton, hatton fought a stupid fight. He did not fight like the hatton that fought floyd. Hatton came into fight scared and left himself so open that my 10 yr old neice could've tagged him. When you watch cotto he is not fast but handles fast fighters and does not waste punches. When i see fans knocking cotto or pacquiao, they are fans who don't appreciate boxing.

I agree with this analysis. I think that Pac may have bitten off more than he could chew on this one. I have been pondering this for weeks now and I think that if PAC get hit flush by Cotto then he's going down. Cotto can punch. I originally thought that PAC will be to fast but now I am thinking that Cotto may not be as shot as we think he is. If he is a little shot then he looses Maybe its all the hype behind PAC but I think this fight is headed for an upset.

The way Cotto used a jab... lemme repeat that again.. A JAB againts clottey and knocked him down and he was around 180lbs fight night i can almost garuntee that manny will get rocked more than once... What is funny is most people forget that or won't admit it ever happened. CLOTTEY has NEVER been knocked out or down BEFORE that fight.

I see Cotto coming out early & working behind the jab,which will blunt some of Manny's movement!!I believe that Cotto is gonna show very good countering skills as he just technically baffles Manny!!I think that Manny's sparring if for a big bull just pressuring kinda like with Hatton,but Cotto is gonna apply controlled pressure & look good doing it!!:boxing:

The way Cotto used a jab... lemme repeat that again.. A JAB againts clottey and knocked him down and he was around 180lbs fight night i can almost garuntee that manny will get rocked more than once...

Nice post , I admire Both fighters , fan of both , And this is a very very very very possible scenario , The one that most likely describe how Cotto will take over , if anyhting ,cuz we know Pacquiao is a great fighter , and I give it a 50-50 chance for both , But I like this analisis. Could actually be spot on!!!!!! Agree with you.

It's been a while since Cotto's body punching has been affective against an elite fighter. He had no success in using his body attack against Clottey, Margarito but will be able to against the more elusive Pacquiao? I don't think so. Pacquiao ain't no defensive wizard but he is very quick on his feet, I really don't see Cotto getting to the body. I guess we'll agree to dissagree. Cotto's body attack did have an affect on Clottey because after the 3rd round Cotto was a 1 eyed fighter but the body shots/punches that he was receiving from cotto slowed Clottey down so much that he could not finish off that 1 eyed fighter. Also, roach and people think that fighters cannot catch Pacquiao. Wrong, marquez went to the body and at times rocked pacquiao but his mistake is not following up when he hurt him. Barerra, morales and others have gone to the body but the difference is that their body shots are not on the same level as cotto's body shots. Many say that Cotto did not look that great against clottey or mosley. People seem to forget that when a fighter fights another good fighter, he might win but not look so good, the competition is better. Pacquiao's biggest mistake is running and having the fans/judges see you as a runner. Pacquiao has gotten caught against the ropes and in the corner and this fight will be no different, just an opponent who goes to the body/head more than other pacquiao opponents.

I think Pacmans plans will change the minute he tastes a legit welterweight punch, hell.. Cotto might not even need to rely solely on bodyshots to break Manny down.

It's been a while since Cotto's body punching has been affective against an elite fighter. He had no success in using his body attack against Clottey, Margarito but will be able to against the more elusive Pacquiao? I don't think so. Pacquiao ain't no defensive wizard but he is very quick on his feet, I really don't see Cotto getting to the body.