I'm curious to see what you gamblers are thinking tonight.
For the Taylor/AA fight, I think this is interesting because I'm reading AA is a fairly heavy favourite for this one, odds wise. I'm looking at this one as pretty much 50/50, AA has the advantage of fighting in Germany but I think Taylor's skilfull enough to offset this and also I'm sure he won't gas as badly as in the Froch fight. We've had some controversial high profile decisions recently and I think for the sake of boxing this one will be judged fairly, even despite the location.
Personally I'll be taking odds of roughly 5-1 on a Taylor points win. I think Taylor is the better boxer, if his stamina holds up, and if he wins I think it's gonna be a decision.
For Froch/Dirrell, I'm taking the same view. Froch was outboxed by Taylor for a long part of the fight and I think Dirrell is slick enough to give him problems the same way. I think Froch will be ineffective for a while although he'll probably come back into it later on. However if he hadn't knocked out Taylor so late on he was well behind on the cards, I'm going for a Dirrell decision. I can see Froch coming out like a madman for the 12th but if he can't land the clincher I can't see him getting the decision, even in Nottingham.
So I'll be taking a Dirrell decision at roughly 4-1 odds.
Will stick a few bob on each and see what happens! What are your strategies/odds you've taken?
I would stay away from Abraham-Taylor, to me that is a fight that is to hard to predict.
Froch-Dirrell, is a pick'em also if betting on that fight I would parlay Froch/under (11.5 rounds) or Dirrell over (11.5 rounds). I am thinking about a small bet on Dirrell but even though I really like him as a prospect and think he has a ton of skills it is hard to have a ton of faith in him at this point.
No other gamblers among us?
Remember your getting these odds because they are unlikely scenarios. Though I do think the Taylor bet is possible because he is at a cross road and will do everything he has to to win. Direll winning a decision in England is highly unlikely. In my humble oppinion take Taylor and leave the Froch fight alone.
My gut feeling tells me to stay away from tonights fights. I think overall the tourny is set up pretty evenly in the opeing round. The Taylor/AA odds should be closer, but that doesn't mean Taylor won't lose.
Two things I was considering just to play the odds:
Money on Taylor to win outright and money on AA to win a KO. Either way I'm getting money back unless Jermain lasts the distance and loses. The problem here is the judges could screw Taylor in a close fight.
Dirrell by decision. If you really believe in Dirrell here +300 odds seem like a steal. I just don't know what to think of him yet. Not until I see what he's got tonight.
Yeah I did mean real money! Those odds are what I'll be taking ie stick £10 on Taylor decision and try to make £50.
I don't usually bet on boxing but I think they're both tough to pick a winner at this stage which is why I think Dirrell/AA as underdogs is a good opportunity to make some cash.