Before the Castillo Corrales fight, Corrales was the favorite until about 2 weeks before the fight, by fight time Castillo was a slight favorite.
After Margarito Cintron, I changed my mind and said Hopkins wins big. I can't think of a fight where Taylor has ever been in trouble, so I can't yet comment on his resolve.
BHop TKO6.
The Trinidad fight was a big upset for the fact that most people and writers picked Trinidad to win. No matter the result Castillo-Corrales would never be an upset as public opinion was so evenly divided. Point being, Castillo lost and it wasn't an upset and if Corrales lost it wouldn't have being an upset either.
I don't believe Castillo was the betting favorite going into his fight with Corrales so that really wouldn't be an upset. I think Hopkins is going to beat Taylor.