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Looks Like War With North Korea Might Happen
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I'm almost certain the US will not strike first. The US is operating on two fronts: projecting believable intent and resolve for war, and working China to tighten the grip of sanctions to a breaking point.
In order to strike first, the US would need some reliable and actionable intelligence that would persuade them that there would not be/or that they could preempt or contain any massive retaliatory attack. Korea does have nuclear capabilities, heavy artillery, and short/medium range missiles that could threaten key allies in S Korea and Japan. This would be unacceptable collateral damage, and so a first strike is very unlikely. N Korea cannot legitimately threaten American directly at this point, although they are attempting to gain that capability.
Of course, having a fat man baby dictator with nukes is a wild card. He could kick start a devastating local war, but I don't think any country would be stupid enough to join N Korea in suicide. China would be more likely to roll on N Korea than start war with the US (as long as the US doesn't make any idiotic strategic errors to completely alienate them while dealing with Kim).
Preemptive strike is unlikely. World War not going to happen.
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Lol NK just talks that noise. They ain't nuking nor going to war with nobody.
They can barely afford to keep their army fed at home - what makes you think they could afford the logistical support to keep them going through a war??
They just talk big so then they can lie to their citizens saying "look how we punked down the evil Westerners"!
It's sad that their citizens aren't allowed access to world media, and they only know what their government tells them.
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Originally posted by Mukuro View PostI'm almost certain the US will not strike first. The US is operating on two fronts: projecting believable intent and resolve for war, and working China to tighten the grip of sanctions to a breaking point.
In order to strike first, the US would need some reliable and actionable intelligence that would persuade them that there would not be/or that they could preempt or contain any massive retaliatory attack. Korea does have nuclear capabilities, heavy artillery, and short/medium range missiles that could threaten key allies in S Korea and Japan. This would be unacceptable collateral damage, and so a first strike is very unlikely. N Korea cannot legitimately threaten American directly at this point, although they are attempting to gain that capability.
Of course, having a fat man baby dictator with nukes is a wild card. He could kick start a devastating local war, but I don't think any country would be stupid enough to join N Korea in suicide. China would be more likely to roll on N Korea than start war with the US (as long as the US doesn't make any idiotic strategic errors to completely alienate them while dealing with Kim).
Preemptive strike is unlikely. World War not going to happen.
IF by chance Kim pressed the self-destruct button by nuking Japan and S Korea, and sending an all-out assault/invasin of ground troops towards S Korea, well, N Korea would cease to exist as we know it.
Before he could even press 30 miles deep into S Korean territory, Pyongyang would be rubble, and literally half his army would be killed.
And yes - like you said - China would probably be the first to attack them before they sided with them. Unless USA did something that they viewed as a threat to their sovereignty.
Any of his troops exposed and not underground would be killed by massive airstrikes.
We would have complete control of the air within a few days, and the South Korean army would mop up whatever was left of his ground game.
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