Fury vs Wilder is not a 50/50 fight. Here's why.

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  • fighter1234
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    #11
    Originally posted by MaksBox
    I think this will be Kovalev vs Ward 1, Canelo vs GGG 1,

    Fury is the better boxer and will win with the fans, BUT he is not going to be allowed to win, unless he goes for the KO, and I think he knows it... and THAT is why Wilder will catch him once and Kenny will call it off.
    I think you've hit the nail on the head with this post and it's the reason this fight is 50-50. Fury has Wilder, the judges and the ref against him.

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    • BoxingOutlaw
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      #12
      Every casino in Vegas has Wilder a clear favorite.

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      • PAC-BOY
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        #13
        Originally posted by leeroy84
        Yeh but now the ref and judges have been named, I'd say it's much more favourable for Deontay.

        The Gypsy King is getting robbed again... How ironic.
        Very true ! Its gonna happen. Especially with the 3rd man in the ring if a knock down happens.

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        • hugh grant
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          #14
          Wilder got a punches chance and punche rs chances aren't usually as high as 50%.
          Fury said wilder was one of easiest fighters he fought. Surely that must worry wilder.?

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          • fighter1234
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            #15
            Originally posted by BoxingOutlaw
            Every casino in Vegas has Wilder a clear favorite.
            I don't know about Vegas but almost every bookie in the world has it even.

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            • YoungManRumble
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              #16
              Originally posted by BoxingOutlaw
              Every casino in Vegas has Wilder a clear favorite.
              You clearly don't know what you're saying or understand how lines move or juice/implied probability etc.



              -130 is the highest I can find for Wilder on garbage mybookie and that's a 6.5% margin.

              -110 -110 on bet365 at 5.2% margin
              -113 +100 on Pinaccle at 3.08% margin
              -105 +100 on William Hill at 1.05% margin which would be the best place to place your wager which I would not have figured but hey that's why I looked it all up.

              and vegas showing even odds or wilder at -116 at highest. (westgate I think)


              at best they gave him a 56.50% to win when it should be 53.05% fair odds sans vig. so if you think paying the bookie more is Wilder being a CLEAR favorite then you my friend are a sucker.

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              • Larry the boss
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                #17
                we will find out in 2 days

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                • Marchegiano
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                  #18
                  Gonna give Wilder extra credit for winning then? Makes him an overachiever.

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                  • Boxing_1013
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                    #19
                    Been going back and forth...but I think Fury wins at this point...that answer could change tomorrow though lol

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                    • JohnCastellanos
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                      #20
                      Originally posted by fighter1234
                      - Fury dominated the first fight barring the two knockdowns.

                      - Rematches usually favor the pure boxer rather than the puncher since he can more easily make adjustments.

                      - Fury was coming off 3 years doing coke and having to lose over 100lbs and he still got up from the knockdowns. It is going to be way harder to knock him down this time.

                      - Fury is actually 3 years younger than Wilder. A lot of people don't realise Wilder is 34 years old. Age starts to play a factor when a fighter gets to his mid 30's.

                      - If Fury can't beat Wilder who can? Does Wilder really look like a fighter to stay undefeated?


                      Fury is over the odds IMO. I'd say he has about a 75% chance of winning this fight with a 25% chance of getting knocked out. The odds being even are ridiculous IMO. Thoughts?
                      Man your convincing me to put 1thousand on Fury

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