NSB Pick 'em #3 - Murat Gassiev vs Yunier Dorticos, Jan 20

[Abovetheclouds]

Someones getting knocked out....

Gonna pick Gassiev late on

Should be a great fight

[jas]

Favour gassiev big time

Dorticos is incredibly repetitive in his offence- jab , straight right. Rarely throws lead straight. Abel must have noticed this .

Gassiev is an improving fighter

Gassiev ko

[vaynardevil]

Go gassiev, 2x !

[ruedboy]

BETTING ODDS:This is viewed as a pretty close fight according to most - Gassiev is the slight (1.5/1 to 2/1) favorite. No bonus multipliers

You only need to post in this thread to indicate if you'd like to use one of your 2X or 3X multipliers. EG.

If you are using no multiplier (1X), and not picking a draw, just voting in the poll puts you in. I will assume you want 1X unless you post otherwise.

NOTES:
-Draws are worth 120pts. A perfect pick without a multiplier is 30pts.

-CLOSE is <12 pts difference, or anything closer than 116-112 on all three scorecards. WIDE is >=12 pts difference, or anything equivalent to 116-112 on all three cards or wider.

-If you'd like to change your pick before the fight starts, post in this thread to do so. Ideally tag me so that I don't miss it.

-2X doubles your points and 3X triples your points. Everyone starts with 5 doubles and 3 triples to use throughout the year. If you forget how many you have left, check the leaderboard in the master thread.

Sticky me -MEGA-

Probably a dumb question but... when you highlight NO BONUS MULTIPLIER, what do you mean? At first I thought it meant if you picked the favorite you couldn't use the multiplier, but after the Spence fight I knew that wasn't it. Thanks.

[BrometheusBob.]

Probably a dumb question but... when you highlight NO BONUS MULTIPLIER, what do you mean? At first I thought it meant if you picked the favorite you couldn't use the multiplier, but after the Spence fight I knew that wasn't it. Thanks.

When there are fights with a big favorite, I offer a free bonus multiplier on the underdog that is on top of any you choose to use.

Like last week, there was a 1.75X bonus multiplier on Briedis. Which meant if Briedis had won, those picks would be worth 1.75x the usual amount.

In 50/50ish fights, there are no bonus multipliers.

There has been some discussion about whether it should be the other way around. That I should offer more pts for 50/50 fights than wide fights (even when picking the underdog). It didn't get enough traction I feel to change the rules this year.

[HeadBodyBodyBody]

Under the current rules, there is no additional reward to put your 2x or 3x multipliers on fights which are nearly 50/50. You gain the same points if you are putting them on big favourites.

The only way you can gain more points than normal through the multipliers is if you are sure, that a betting underdog is going to win.

But I dont want to meddle in your business

Playing like that would be no fun! I'm a high-risk, low-reward kinda guy

[ruedboy]

When there are fights with a big favorite, I offer a free bonus multiplier on the underdog that is on top of any you choose to use.

Like last week, there was a 1.75X bonus multiplier on Briedis. Which meant if Briedis had won, those picks would be worth 1.75x the usual amount.

In 50/50ish fights, there are no bonus multipliers.

There has been some discussion about whether it should be the other way around. That I should offer more pts for 50/50 fights than wide fights (even when picking the underdog). It didn't get enough traction I feel to change the rules this year.

Got it. Thanks

[asgarth]

When there are fights with a big favorite, I offer a free bonus multiplier on the underdog that is on top of any you choose to use.

Like last week, there was a 1.75X bonus multiplier on Briedis. Which meant if Briedis had won, those picks would be worth 1.75x the usual amount.

In 50/50ish fights, there are no bonus multipliers.

There has been some discussion about whether it should be the other way around. That I should offer more pts for 50/50 fights than wide fights (even when picking the underdog). It didn't get enough traction I feel to change the rules this year.

From what I understand, there is no incentive to put your multiplier on 50/50 fights.

If you put them on very safe fights you get your points times the multiplier.

If you put them on 50/50 fights you get the same result, but have more risk to come out with zero points.

If you put them on underdogs, you get the underdogs multiplier with your multiplier.

I dont know how to do it without f ucking with the balance, but there has to be an incentive to use the multiplier on 50/50 fights.

Taking the briedis fight for example. If you bet on Briedis close decision and he would have won a close decision.

You would have get 30 points * 1,75 = 52,5

Using a x3 multiplier on top you would have get = 157,5.


The maximum point with a x3 multiplier on usyk would have gained you 90 points.

A 3x multiplier on 50/50 fights should get you around 120-130 points to make it worthwile.

[BoxingFan85]

BoxingFan85, 1X

[kidbazooka]

War Dorticos

He should stop Gassiev in the middle rds