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NSB Pick 'em 2017

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  • AI Player #1, I'm coming for you!!

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    • Originally posted by FrankieClutch View Post
      AI Player #1, I'm coming for you!!


      I put in a "player" who picks the betting favorite by close decision every single fight. I haven't decided how I'm going to apply his multipliers. But I think I'm gonna do something where I apply it to the fights with the widest betting odds.

      Sort of a line to show where you'd be if you used only the betting odds to make a decision, and see if you have an edge on the line.

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      • Originally posted by BrometheusBob. View Post


        I put in a "player" who picks the betting favorite by close decision every single fight. I haven't decided how I'm going to apply his multipliers. But I think I'm gonna do something where I apply it to the fights with the widest betting odds.

        Sort of a line to show where you'd be if you used only the betting odds to make a decision, and see if you have an edge on the line.
        Yeah that would be perfect. It's a damn shame that I got started with this so late, I'm 6 for 6 so far! I'm enjoying the hell out of this man, kudos to you!

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        • Top 3 baby, maybe it's time to gamble and pick a big underdog soon.

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          • Originally posted by BrometheusBob. View Post


            I put in a "player" who picks the betting favorite by close decision every single fight. I haven't decided how I'm going to apply his multipliers. But I think I'm gonna do something where I apply it to the fights with the widest betting odds.

            Sort of a line to show where you'd be if you used only the betting odds to make a decision, and see if you have an edge on the line.
            I was thinking about Mr AI yesterday and I thought it might be interesting if there was an AI#2 whose multipliers were, at the end of the year, placed on whichever fights the actual players were most likely to use multipliers. For instance, if many people used their 3x on Loma/Sosa, then AI#2 also has a 3X on there. Depending how you log the stats, I imagine this may be way too difficult to implement but thought I'd just share the idea.

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            • If you aint got 10 correct picks, ya aint ****.
              #11correctclub

              Let it be known that A.K and I technically have 11 correct picks.

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              • My multipliers are about to help me out real real soon.

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                • Originally posted by siablo14 View Post
                  If you aint got 10 correct picks, ya aint ****.
                  #11correctclub

                  Let it be known that A.K and I technically have 11 correct picks.
                  The correct and total should include Briedis-Huck but the score and rank do not.

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                  • Possible Pick em fights:

                    Definitely:
                    Kell Brook Vs Spence Jr.
                    Ward Vs Kovalev

                    Evenly matched fights with somewhat known fighters:
                    Murata Vs Ndam NJikam
                    Robert Easter Jr. Vs Shafikov

                    Popular fighter, but rather big favourites:
                    Crawford Vs Diaz
                    Stevenson Vs Fonfara
                    Davis Vs Walsh

                    Relatively evenly matched fighters, but less important and known fighters:
                    Whyte Vs Wach
                    Durodola Vs Kudryashov
                    Chisora Vs Helenius

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                    • Originally posted by asgarth View Post
                      Possible Pick em fights:

                      Definitely:
                      Kell Brook Vs Spence Jr.
                      Ward Vs Kovalev

                      Evenly matched fights with somewhat known fighters:
                      Murata Vs Ndam NJikam
                      Robert Easter Jr. Vs Shafikov

                      Popular fighter, but rather big favourites:
                      Crawford Vs Diaz
                      Stevenson Vs Fonfara
                      Davis Vs Walsh

                      Relatively evenly matched fighters, but less important and known fighters:
                      Whyte Vs Wach
                      Durodola Vs Kudryashov
                      Chisora Vs Helenius
                      Thanks for the suggestions! I was just thinking now about what would other fights I can put in for the next month or so.

                      Brook-Spence and Ward-Kovalev are givens.

                      Fun fact, Gervonta is only 4/1 over Walsh. I thought it'd be a bit wider. Looks like it could be a decent opportunity to place a wager.

                      Whyte-Wach is a tough one to call on paper, that's worth being included.

                      Chisora-Helenius is not a bad matchup at all but it's the same night as Brook-Spence anyhow so I won't feel as rushed to include it. (Unless other people would like it to be included too)

                      I believe I haven't watched any of either Kudryashov or Durodola since their first fight. But that fight was a ****er IIRC. I should catch up on these guys.

                      I genuinely want to believe that Felix Diaz has a chance against Crawford but I don't know...

                      Easter Jr vs Shafikov is a good fight

                      I was at the Barclay's and saw maybe half of Fonfara-Dawson. Seemed like Fonfara was probably not going to win the fight and he rallied at the end and stopped him. I don't think he's too shopworn to give Stevenson a good fight again, and Stevenson is both a bit old and sheltered in terms of level of competition. So I think the listed odds (Stevenson 9/1 favorite) is probably too wide.

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