Official(ish) Boxing Betting Thread

[jas]

Juan Francisco Estrada to win (vs Wisaksil Wangek aka Srisket Sor Rungsvai)

This is a value play. Estrada started at 2.75 and is now at Evens. I think there is still a little value at Evens.

- This is a rematch.
- Since the first encounter, Estrada has looked strong in two wins. Rung has fought Iran Diaz in his home country of Thailand. Diaz was trained by Juan Manuel Marquez, a future Hall of Famer who has been compared to Estrada for their similarities in their counterpunching styles and Mexican heritage. Rung won a wide decision but Diaz did knock him down twice, which referee Jay Nady incorrectly ruled as slips.

- Both fighters have vowed to produce a performance which surpasses that in their first fight. Rung has indicated that he underestimated Estrada. Meanwhile, the Mexican said he had a knee injury which affected his camp leading up to the first fight. Estrada is now more confident in his stamina to be able to push the pace from an earlier point of the fight.
- estrada finished the first fight stronger
- rematches tend to favour the boxer. - boxrec lists one of the judges as being from mexico.
- estrada's power is underrated imo.
- estrada has superior combinations and athleticism imo
- estrada is at his peak imo.
- rung could be slowing down

given the factors listed above, i like estrada to win. on a scale of 1-5, i recommend a play of just 1 unit at Evens, 1.5 units at a price of 2.25

[JimGunn]

Seems like most bettors are on Estrada to win this time based on Estrada being injured in the first fight and the Thai supposedly on a decline, but Rungvisai has won me a lot of money so I will back him one more time at close odds and hope that power makes the difference.

Wisaksil Wangek (-108) vs Juan Francisco Estrada $216.00 for $200.00

[jas]

Viktor postol to win (vs mohamed mimoune)

[JimGunn]

Rances Barthelemy (+500) vs Robert Easter Jr. $100.00 for $500.00

Viktor Postol (-165) vs Mohamed Mimoune $330.00 for $200.00

[Eff Pandas]

Rances Barthelemy (+500) vs Robert Easter Jr. $100.00 for $500.00

Viktor Postol (-165) vs Mohamed Mimoune $330.00 for $200.00

That +500 is mfing nuts. Threw something on Rances too. This screams close competitive fight to me.

I took the other end on the Postol fight doe. I dig Postol, but I think he's about done & Mimoune is underrated. I'll take the dog odds on him in this one.

Good luck to everyone.

[JimGunn]

Leon Harth (+275) vs Leon Bunn $100.00 for $275.00 (3-way)
Leon Harth (+265) vs Leon Bunn $100.00 for $265.00

Bilal Akkawy (+250) vs John Ryder $200.00 for $500.00 (3-way)

Radivoje Kalajdzic (+919) vs Artur Beterbiev $100.00 for $919.00
Radivoje Kalajdzic (+800) vs Artur Beterbiev $100.00 for $800.00

Saul Alvarez/Daniel Jacobs Over 10½ (-250) $250.00 for $100.00
Saul Alvarez wins by split decision (+808) $30.00 for $242.40
Saul Alvarez wins by majority decision (+1300) $30.00 for $390.00
Daniel Jacobs wins by split decision (+3000) $30.00 for $900.00
Daniel Jacobs wins by majority decision (+3610) $30.00 for $1,083.00
Saul Alvarez/Daniel Jacobs Split Decision Draw (+4755) $15.00 for $713.25
Saul Alvarez/Daniel Jacobs Majority Decision Draw (+7314) $15.00 for $1,097.10

[JimGunn]

Emanuel Navarrete (-190) vs Issac Dogboe $190.00 for $100.00
Emanuel Navarrete wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+275) $75.00 for $206.25

Julian Williams (+499) vs Jarrett Hurd $100.00 for $499.00
Julian Williams (+499) vs Jarrett Hurd $100.00 for $499.00

[jas]

BOOM!

[jas]

[jas]

In a mismatch, wilder faces mandatory breazeale.

I respect breadman's opinion a lot and he has said he is giving breazeale a shot if he does not get clipped early but brezeale tires. He has faced opponents who have tired more than him. Breazeale is very slow from round 4 onwards. I expect wilder to only use his jab in the first 1 or 2 rounds and use his agility and movement to avoid any contact from breazeale.

Breazeale's heart is overstated imo. He is actually more risk averse than it may appear. Against joshua he did not get hit clean in the final knockdown sequences but wanted out. Sounds harsh but this is true imo.

In the 3rd round, i anticipate wilder to partially land a couple right hands. Breazeale's stamina and speed tends to diminish from round 4. I think wilder will sense this and therefore land his right and hurt breazeale.


Recommended play:

On a scale of 1 to 5 units:

4u on wilder ko at 1.4
1u on wilder ko rounds 1-6 at 2.5