Official(ish) Boxing Betting Thread

[siablo14]

def taking lubin +135

How much did you lose?

[asgarth]

I'm seeing odds now & they are silly (-560ish) so I'm going dog or pass & likely pass this time.

Won money on Ndam last time cuz I think Murata was good but overrated, but while he throws too few punches last time (imo & why I still say it was a close fight & not a robbery unlike most cats) he showed he gots some talent last time & I think he'll make better decisions + have more activity to win this time outright. Not laying money on him doing so at those silly ass odds doe.

Anyone seeing a line on Machado anywhere? I'm liking him to upset Corrales this weekend.

Also a lil further out Josh Taylor vs Miguel Vazquez has a silly line too. Taylor is a -2200ish favorite.

I like Taylor to win myself, but this is a nice step up & I've seen more than one person suggest Vasquez isn't a great style match up for him so that seems like a fight worth throwing a lil something at just cuz its a nutty ass line cuz for sure Vazquez gots better than a 7% chance to win that fight like the line suggests.

I just saw the odds for murata ndan and are unfortunately not worth it. (I also had money on ndam the first time around. Lol)

Haven't seen to much of either machado or corrales.

The 7% chance line for Vazquez is way too low. But he still shouldn't win with his spoiler style in the UK.
His footwork will probably bother Taylor, but Taylor is flashy enough to win the rounds with a couple good looking combinations.

[Eff Pandas]

The 7% chance line for Vazquez is way too low. But he still shouldn't win with his spoiler style in the UK.

People keep telling me stuff like that but I keep seeing these UK prospects catching L's left n right.

Won at similar odds in that Eggington vs the guy who's name I can't pronounce the other week. Don't have to win many of those +1000 or wider fights to be up and Vasquez is a big jump up in class and isn't 7% or less to win vs anyone put probably Crawford at 140.

[mlac]

just noticed Ceylan is 5/1....this is a 50/50 fight or am i missing something??

I expected warrington to be 4/6.

You can get Ceylan And Zhakiyanov double @20/1

taking that now.

[Eff Pandas]

Murata went from -560 to -925 lol. Thats a hell of a jump. That's for sure a dog or pass situation now & hell I'm way more tempted to throw a lil something on Ndam than I was yesterday.

Oh & I don't think anyone brought up that Eubank Jr is the favorite (-160) over Groves (+120) for their first quarter of 2018 bout.

[Sparked_26]

I like loads of bets at the moment looking at PP.

Tyrone Nurse could outbox Catterall and a tenner on that returns £28

Then on the AJ card there is a few.

Lenroy Thomas seems like a better fighter than Dave Allen to me and tenner on that returns £27.50

A tenner on Callum Johnson to beat Frank Buglioni returns £24

Rob Brant is evens to beat the ghost of Jurgen Braehmer

A tenner on Helenius to beat Whyte returns £37.50

And......a tenner on Takam returns £140, lol. I normally can't invest in results I don't want to happen but I need a new heavyweight goldmine after Big Dave Price disappeared. Heavyweights are just meant to get knocked out man. There is no method of victory on PP yet but presumably you could get it up from that by picking the stoppage. If Takam wins it's because he banjos him.

[Eff Pandas]

Lenroy Thomas seems like a better fighter than Dave Allen to me and tenner on that returns £27.50

I won money on Lenroy the first time, but I'm feeling less confident in him winning the rematch, but its likely to be another close fight & Lenroy is too big of a dog here so it makes sense to bet on Lenroy again. Fight should be a pickem.

Rob Brant is evens to beat the ghost of Jurgen Braehmer

There is too many questions here for me to feel real confident about anything. Braehmer has actually had a career, but is coming down from 175. Brant has done nothing & is coming up from 160. What happens when a guy who's done stuff is coming down to fight a younger guy who's done nothing is a big ball of I don't even f#cking know if I think about this fight seriously. The fact I've seen so lil of Brant gives me lil reason to wanna risk much of anything on this fight.

A tenner on Helenius to beat Whyte returns £37.50

I was a big Helenius believer at one time & if we could rewind to about 6-7 years ago you'd never have been able to convince me he a almost a decade later would not only he never have won a title belt but not even have fought for one yet, but if he beats any legit top ten-ish guy again, which I think Whyte probably is these days, I'd be surprised. Guy lost part of his soul with all his bs that went down a few years ago it seems. I don't think its even the same guy.

[Sparked_26]

I won money on Lenroy the first time, but I'm feeling less confident in him winning the rematch, but its likely to be another close fight & Lenroy is too big of a dog here so it makes sense to bet on Lenroy again. Fight should be a pickem.



There is too many questions here for me to feel real confident about anything. Braehmer has actually had a career, but is coming down from 175. Brant has done nothing & is coming up from 160. What happens when a guy who's done stuff is coming down to fight a younger guy who's done nothing is a big ball of I don't even f#cking know if I think about this fight seriously. The fact I've seen so lil of Brant gives me lil reason to wanna risk much of anything on this fight.



I was a big Helenius believer at one time & if we could rewind to about 6-7 years ago you'd never have been able to convince me he a almost a decade later would not only he never have won a title belt but not even have fought for one yet, but if he beats any legit top ten-ish guy again, which I think Whyte probably is these days, I'd be surprised. Guy lost part of his soul with all his bs that went down a few years ago it seems. I don't think its even the same guy.

I think I will likely go for Calum Johnson and Thomas. Then if either comes in I'll put a 'fun' bet on Takam.

Calum Johnson is the one I am most confident in. I think he's decent and Frank is a fun t.v fighter but I actually think Johnson probably has more quality. I think the odds are basically wrong.

[jas]

Anyone interested in doing a skype group chat or call ? Still post picks here but to allow more in-depth discussion.

[JimGunn]

Small action play for tonight. Hopefully someone gets cut or hurt and stopped:

Gabriel Rosado/Glen Tapia Under 8½ (+175) $75.00 for $131.25