Cotto I think. Maidana's power would trouble him but I don't think Chino would have had the gas tank to push Cotto in the late rounds, where he would be vulnerable.
One doesn't even have to bring up body punching, I'd ignore that because Cotto hasn't been a dedicated body puncher for a while now. Cotto would win simply because he's bigger, physically stronger, he'll control Maidana from close.
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