I agree with Kovalev being the more dangerous fight, he is a much bigger man than GGG, but I absolutely disagree with your analysis.
1) Technically, GGG is much more fluid than Kovalev, he throws better combos, mixes it up very well, while Kovalev mostly relies on straight punches.GGG is also better at cutting off the ring.
2) Assuming Ward is the same fighter as a couple of years ago, there is no way Kovalev wins by jabbing, countering and stepping back. Ward would keep the pace low, beat Kovalev to the punch due to superior hand and foot speed , making it a "boring" UD. Kovalev needs to be the aggressor, he is big, powerful and capable of clever aggression. Stepping back to contol range and to avoid walking into counters, as he did with Bhop , is one thing, trying to win a fight against Ward on his backfoot is an entirely different matter.
1) Technically, GGG is much more fluid than Kovalev, he throws better combos, mixes it up very well, while Kovalev mostly relies on straight punches.GGG is also better at cutting off the ring.
2) Assuming Ward is the same fighter as a couple of years ago, there is no way Kovalev wins by jabbing, countering and stepping back. Ward would keep the pace low, beat Kovalev to the punch due to superior hand and foot speed , making it a "boring" UD. Kovalev needs to be the aggressor, he is big, powerful and capable of clever aggression. Stepping back to contol range and to avoid walking into counters, as he did with Bhop , is one thing, trying to win a fight against Ward on his backfoot is an entirely different matter.
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