Donaire, possibly by stoppage, depending on how good Leo's chin is.
Yeah, Nonito will stop this dude. Cruz is tough but he never faced a puncher like Nonito at 122. Cruz is a small version of Margarito same slow flurry arm punches and pressure with face open. Nonito is probably the same size as him or a bit bigger, and he would tattoo dudes face with that hard left hook.
Nonito has trouble with boxer punchers who can move and crack. Cruz is a walking punching bag for Nonito.
If Nonito loses to this guy he should retire for good.
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