While Bute is no slouch defensively, he is there to be hit, as lesser fighters like Johnson, Magee, and Andrade have proven over the years. Froch is better than these fighters, and could land his jab and right hand with alarming regularity.
Bute keeps his hands below his neck, and uses head movement to roll with and slip punches when on the defensive. However, he is no Mayweather or Ward, and his head isn't all that hard to find. I have a feeling that Froch's jab is going to be key in this fight. He will throw it from the outside to keep Bute off balance and blind him from the crunching right hands that will follow. I just can't see how Bute avoids Froch's right hand?
You could point to Froch's inability to really hurt fighters like Kessler, Abraham, and Johnson, but I believe all these fighters have better defensive qualities that Bute. Kessler is conventional, and has a good chin, Abraham has that tight guard, and Johnson can absorb huge punishment. Bute hasn't proven he can take a beating and come back from it yet.
At some point, Froch is going to land big, and I don't believe Bute has the durability to sustain nor avoid the onslaught. Obviously Froch is just as open as Bute, but with the longer reach, he can keep on the outside of exchanges, and use his jab and awkwardness to create his moments. If Bute can't get a KO early, Froch will come on and on, and I believe he will KO Bute in the late rounds 10-12.
This may sound crazy, but I think Bute's style is somewhat made for Froch and this will start to show after the third round.
Wow wow wow wow. I don't know whether to be impressed or a little scared
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