i would bet 1100 on floyd to make 200 easy
Mayweather-Cotto betting odds
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I talk a lot of crap about Cotto (in regards to him fighting Mayweather) but I wouldn't put down that much dough on Floyd.
To be honest, as confident I am in Floyd BEATING Cotto, I'd consider Cotto the most LIVE dog against Floyd since Oscar in 2007.
If I had a $100 to expend, I'd use it.Comment
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Mayweather is something different. Mayweather isn't as active and probably can't take the same amount of punishment that he dishes on certain opponents.
On the flip side, Mayweather is a whole different ballpark compared to Cotto's opponents. He has an insane accuracy/opponent accuracy disparity. It's not just his pinpoint punches that you have to be worried about, it's also that you have to keep a cool head or risk missing shots and leaving yourself wide open for extra punishment. Those two strengths he has compliment each other perfectly and statistics don't lie...Cotto eats A LOT of power punches. Look at stats in the Judah fight, the Mosley fight, the Margarito fight, the Clottey fight, the Pacquiao fight, etc. Cotto is a big sucker for power punches.
Cotto's jabs and Mayweather's inactivity (a laughable 4 rounds against Ortiz) should cause the fight to have interesting spots with Cotto having some success once every four rounds. At best, Cotto wins 3 rounds with Floyd showing glimpses of vulnerability that weren't so obvious before due to his age affecting him slightly.
To say Cotto is a live dog is a small compliment, but honestly, to say he has enough for me to actually think, "This could be it! Mayweather could lose this fight." is out of the question. If we were talking about a 160-pound Martínez, or perhaps James Kirkland at 154 (chinny as hell, but has insane stamina and a huge punch to boot with Ann Wolf behind him) then maybe I'd say, "That's a damn dangerous fight for Floyd."
I can't see anybody right now at 140-154 (other than the ones I mentioned) giving Floyd fits to be honest.
Is Cotto worthy of a paycheck? Yes. Is Cotto liked by most fans? Yes. Is Cotto the most solid "B-plan" fighters for Floyd not named Pacquiao (Canelo, Bradley, Martínez)? Yes. And because of this, I think he's become generally accepted. Cotto is still a good fighter that deserves a fight with Mayweather but that's about it. It's more of a case of "deserving" the fight than to really have a high chance of success. If I were to throw a figure out there, Cotto's chances are not past 25%. It's there, but...meh. LOL
I love Cotto to death and I'm rooting for him but think about it...
He avenged his loss against Margarito and knocked Mayorga out, decent wins. Do they fight ANYTHING like Mayweather? This is going to be like Mosley/Mayweather. Mosley went and fought Mayorga/Margarito (!) right before Mayweather now that I think about it...beautiful KO's (nearly same results as Cotto) but this is something entirely different.
Cotto will do the best he can to his abilities, but he has WAY too many holes in his defense for Mayweather's standards and I don't think you can blame anyone for looking bad against Mayweather.
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http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing-mm...v-miguel-cotto
Cotto is 4/1 which if far the shortest odds for a Mayweather opponent, since Oscar I think.
Ortiz was something like 8/1 and Mosley 7/1 and I think Marquez was something around that mark.
You can get 2/1 for Floyd to win on pts and 14/1 for Cotto to win on pts
4/5 For Floyd to get the KO, which seems to what the bookmakers think will happen.
And 5/1 for Cotto to get the KOComment
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