Betting on Zab?

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  • -Antonio-
    -Antonio-
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    #11
    Odds at the book I use is +410 for Zab and sometimes higher.

    Odds for Khan by TKO/KO in 6-12 is +198.

    There's great value in both of those bets. I haven't decided what I'm going to do.

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    • -GDS-
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      #12
      I wouldn't bet too much. I think Zab has a real chance of a KO victory, but betting on Zab getting a breakthough win just doesn't seem right.

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      • -EAGLE-
        el Chino
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        #13
        could this go the distance? and who would take it?

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        • Medved
          Oh Mah Gawd!
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          #14
          Originally posted by chav
          I have £20 on Zab with my bookies at 4-1 odds and also £10 on him stopping Khan at 11/2...I wouldnt normally take Zab but he has a great punch and with Conte & Whitaker in his corner and with the IBF strap i'm feeling it's worth a punt....the odds on Khan arent attractive enough, they seem to think Khan will stop Zab....Victor Conte vs Alex Ariza. Who has the better protein shakes??

          lol
          I dont like this bet, I wouldve done the £30 straight on Zab by KO.

          There is no way Zab is winning this fight by decision,Amir is way too good of a Boxer to lose a Boxing match if Judah decides to go the distance and try to win like that instead of going for a KO.

          so I dont think its wise to put money on a straight win but there is alot of +EV on betting Zab by KO. Some places are 5/1~7/1.

          The best line for straight win is 4.5/1 but a KO/DQ/RTD is at 7/1 at : http://sports.coral.co.uk

          If you havent placed your bet do it at coral, they are only ones offering 7/1
          Last edited by Medved; 07-20-2011, 11:33 AM.

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          • tredh
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            #15
            If the odds are good like you say I would bet on Zab. I mean he does have a good chance to win its not like this fight is a mismatch.

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              #16
              Originally posted by Medved
              I dont like this bet, I wouldve done the £30 straight on Zab by KO.

              There is no way Zab is winning this fight by decision,Amir is way too good of a Boxer to lose a Boxing match if Judah decides to go the distance and try to win like that instead of going for a KO.

              so I dont think its wise to put money on a straight win but there is alot of +EV on betting Zab by KO. Some places are 5/1~7/1.

              The best line for straight win is 4.5/1 but a KO/DQ/RTD is at 7/1 at : http://sports.coral.co.uk

              If you havent placed your bet do it at coral, they are only ones offering 7/1

              If Zab drops him late but doesn't finish him, it could happen.

              Like Maidana caught him late but didn't close it out. If Zab gets a few rounds in early, it's not implausible to think he could get a dec.

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              • chav
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                #17
                Originally posted by Medved
                I dont like this bet, I wouldve done the £30 straight on Zab by KO.

                There is no way Zab is winning this fight by decision,Amir is way too good of a Boxer to lose a Boxing match if Judah decides to go the distance and try to win like that instead of going for a KO.

                so I dont think its wise to put money on a straight win but there is alot of +EV on betting Zab by KO. Some places are 5/1~7/1.

                The best line for straight win is 4.5/1 but a KO/DQ/RTD is at 7/1 at : http://sports.coral.co.uk

                If you havent placed your bet do it at coral, they are only ones offering 7/1

                With the robberies happening in USA recently on the judges score cards and with Conte in the mix to help with endurance, I still like the bet.

                I won't be shocked if Zab gasses, but also I won't be surprised if he is still in Khans grill in the 12th round. Conte will have him in the best possible shape.

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                • -Antonio-
                  -Antonio-
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                  #18
                  Originally posted by Medved
                  I dont like this bet, I wouldve done the £30 straight on Zab by KO.

                  There is no way Zab is winning this fight by decision,Amir is way too good of a Boxer to lose a Boxing match if Judah decides to go the distance and try to win like that instead of going for a KO.

                  so I dont think its wise to put money on a straight win but there is alot of +EV on betting Zab by KO. Some places are 5/1~7/1.

                  The best line for straight win is 4.5/1 but a KO/DQ/RTD is at 7/1 at : http://sports.coral.co.uk

                  If you havent placed your bet do it at coral, they are only ones offering 7/1
                  To me the difference in value isn't so much to where being safe with a straight up bet will hurt you. I'd be pretty mad if I took a leap at a 4-1 dog and missed because I got greedy.

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                  • The Future
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                    #19
                    I think I am going to be a G on zab.
                    I got a feeling zab will catch amir and lay him out.
                    Even in all of zab's loses, he has caught everyone at least once.....*nd I don't think amir has a good chin.

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                    • Medved
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                      #20
                      Originally posted by chav
                      With the robberies happening in USA recently on the judges score cards and with Conte in the mix to help with endurance, I still like the bet.

                      I won't be shocked if Zab gasses, but also I won't be surprised if he is still in Khans grill in the 12th round. Conte will have him in the best possible shape.
                      Robberies have been going to the "Promoters" fighter and the guy who makes the most money in the fight.

                      Amir is the bigger draw and promoters pet, Zab is just there for a paycheck. Besides its in Las Vegas, I seriously doubt Zab will have any fans/bias from the judges as if he were fighting in his home town in a corrupt state.

                      I just dont think the odds are there to put Zab by decision, he's not that type of fighter, besides Chinny Chin cant take punches for 12 rounds before getting knocked out, and Zab aint the one who gonna throw pitter patter punches.

                      The way I see this fight going is

                      Amir Khan taking fight out of jab and schooling him for the whole fight while zab's big new muscles deprive him of oxygen and he gasses in the 5th or 6th and will be a punching bag. < This i think happens 70% of the time

                      Zab has a 30% chance in my eyes of KO'ing Amir, I just dont see him outboxing him, he will either get a stoppage or a KO.

                      Amir is still huge favorite but with the odds at 7/1, I will take this bet everytime, even if I only win 1 in 4 making bets like this I will still come out ahead.

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