For any bettors out there, are you surprised at +260 for Ortiz? I think the odds are far too one side here. Berto is going off at -340. Even if you favor Berto, 3-1 seems too high to me. I think Ortiz might be a good bet.
+260 good odds for Ortiz?
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It's a decent bet.
The safe bet, for me, would be taking the under. The under is at 9 1/2 with a +115.
I'd put, for example, $100 on the under. I'd have the better chance as both have tasted the canvas. I could even hedge my bet by still putting $20 to $50 on Ortiz straight up. This way, I have a wide spectrum of opportunities and so long as Ortiz wins, I make decent money. If he gets knocked out early, I still make some money in the long run. I would just root against a late stoppage or decision.
If I put $100 on the under and $50 on Ortiz, I stand to make a profit in most potential circumstances. Unless it's Berto winning in any fashion past the under expiration, I make money.
Ortiz wins before the under runs out = $255.
Ortiz wins in any fashion = $40.
Berto wins by stoppage before the under runs out = $65.
You could obviously bet on a smaller or larger scale still using this logic. -
I wouldn't take those odds, not to say they are terrible but you are basically inline with his chances, I personally like to be getting paid a bit extra to take the dog.
If you like Ortiz's chances by all means though.Comment
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i got 6-1 so i went for it,obviously people are dumping money on Ortiz the line has cut in half.Comment
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Indeed, you can never really go wrong with 6-1 unless it is a total mismatch. I don't really like Ortiz's chances but there are reasons to think he could pull it out.
That is how it goes though, lines usually tighten up a bit especially on a fairly high profile fight. Knowing when to bet to get the proper odds is very important.Comment
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Do you place your bets online, and if so, what site do you use? I'm not that experienced of a bettor so I guess I waited too long to get in this one. Even though only a few responses, you guys don't seem to think its a good bet, so I'm not going to put any money on this fight.Comment
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