Miguel Cotto vs. Randall Bailey pre-fight Analysis

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  • borikua
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    • Jul 2004
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    #1

    Miguel Cotto vs. Randall Bailey pre-fight Analysis

    Posted by Ric Solivan on 12-06-2004 | 11:03 am

    Former junior welterweight champion Randall Bailey (28-4, 27 ko’s) looks to take his former strap back from its current holder rising Taino phenom Miguel Cotto (21-0, 17 ko’s) in what should be an interesting and explosive bout. Bailey is as hard a puncher as they come and has an impressive KO win ratio with all but one of his winning efforts coming by way of the fast lane. On the flip side he has lost inmost of his biggest fights against credible opposition like Ener Julio (12 Round SD), Diosbelys Hurtado (7th Round TKO), DeMarcus Corley (12 th round UD) and recently up and coming Ishe Smith (12 round UD). His biggest win came over the only common opponent he shares with Cotto in Demetrio Ceballos. Bailey ended the hostilities early against the Panamanian by way of a 3rd round TKO, while in contrast Cotto went seven rounds before stopping the former world champion.

    As is his custom, Bailey will come into the bout looking to overpower and demolish the champion, preferably in the early rounds, but don’t be surprised if the Miami native holds back a bit and takes his chances with the younger man later in the fight. For Bailey, his heavy right hand is his only hope of dethroning the Caguas native, that is unless Cotto tires by the middle to late rounds.

    Miguel Cotto is coming off a demolishing title winning effort against former amateur level nemesis Kelson Pinto. The young Puerto Rican superstar had no problems manhandling the larger (5’ 10”) man in route to a 6th round TKO win. Cotto’s tight defense and devastatingly sharp combinations were the key factors in the win, as the Brazilian simply had no answers and cound not keep the smaller man from invading his defensive perimeter.

    Cotto’s prior outing was against tough Australian Lovemore N’do. Cotto reportedly shed quite a few pounds at the 11th hour for this bout and if true could explain for his uncharacteristic wear and tear in the latter rounds of the fight. Surprisingly Cotto could not evade many of N’do’s right hands in the second half of the fight, thus leading to the Australian having the bragging rights over being the only fighter thus far to land at a high percentage over the usually iron clad protected of Cotto. Cotto however did take the authoritative punches well and boxed his way out of harm’s way in route o a unanimous decision win.

    Against Bailey, Cotto will likely box in the opening rounds and test his opponents reaction time & mobility. Based on this data Cotto will then adjust and look to establish control over the challenger with lateral movement and solid counter punching before unleashing his trademark combinations. However we must note that depending on the version of Randall Bailey that shows up Saturday night, we could be in for a repeat of Cotto’s dominating bout with Kelson Pinto, as Cotto is by far the best pure boxer/puncher the Floridian has ever faced.

    TainoBox predicts that Cotto will wear down and turn the tables on Bailey overpowering him with powerful combinations by the middle rounds and ultimately sending him to the showers early in the 8th round.
  • whdempsey
    Only John Wayne Around
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    • May 2004
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    #2
    Good call, that's my pick too.

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    • oldgringo
      Ellis
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      • Jul 2004
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      #3
      I concur. Cotto will be too much for Bailey as the fight progresses.

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      • jabsRstiff
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        #4
        Bailey has a huge right hand....but doesn't seem to want, or know how, to deliver it.
        The dude does very little in there.....& doesn't seem to take punches or pressure too well.
        Cotto will patiently break him down, while nullifying Bailey's one & only hope.
        Cotto in 7.

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        • PRboxingfan
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          • Aug 2004
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          #5
          I'm calling for a spectacular 7th round KO where Bailey will do the chicken dance. Cotto will box circles around him for the first three rounds, test his power against Bailey and see what Bailey has to offer. After that, he'll be relentless in the hunt for Baileys ribcage and will devastate him something fierce.

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          • tri4ben2
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            • Nov 2004
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            #6
            Ok,

            I am still eating crow over the Lacy SHeika fight, but I have to agree with you guys on this one.

            Cotto respects the power early and then breaks baily down late for the stoppage.

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