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While Pac v Clottey will be an interesting fight, I can't helpt but think it will do "poor" numbers PPV wise and live gate. Pac vs Cotto filled the MGM Grand and had 1.25 million ppv. But that's two countries with huge boxing fan bases and sizeable communities in the US. What does Clottey bring? There are not a lot of Ghanians in the US. Clottey has never been a headliner on PPV while Cotto, Hatton, and de la Hoya have been. Nobody knows Clottey but hardcore boxing fans. I'm guessing 400k PPV. There won't be a Pac v Clottey 24/7. How are they going to sell and market this fight? The fight will be in the stadium but I can't see Pac v Clottey selling more than Pac v past opponents. I'm predicting the numbers will be poor.
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Well, I think you have to consider the undercard as well. Bob Arum is planning on loading it with big Mexican names, so he's banking on a big Mexican turn out at the gate as well for the PPV buys.
Also, it depends heavily on who Mayweather will be fighting and what his undercard will look like.
In addition, it depends on who HBO will side with. I think whowever HBO sides with will have better PPV buys -
Exactly, this fight will reflect Pac's drawing power more accurately than his last three fights.
I think the PPV's won't go over 850k for either Pac or Mayweather and the live gate won't go over 30k fans at the Dallas Stadium.
Too many bad sentiments from the boxing public right now for either of these fighters to sell without them fighting each other.Comment
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Got to give it to Arum, king of ethnic pandering.
If that's the case though, with all the mexican fighters, can we really say Pac is the draw?? There are rumours that Margarito will be there. That will definitely add to the gate. Pac true drawing power will not be measured.Comment
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It will do under a million, I do know that...Comment
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I doubt it does more than 650K reed. Clottey is unknown, and Pacquiao's last three fights have been against PPV fighters in Oscar, Hatton and Cotto who have contibuted to the PPV as much as Pacquiao did. Cotto has a decent following and thats why the fight with Pacquiao did above 1 million as Cotto had been getting in the range of 350-500K buys in PPV (Against dance partners in Mosley and Margarito) now it will be interesting to see how much Pacquiao does against a fighter who has hardly had any PPV fights...Comment
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I don't care and neither should anybody who isn't getting a cut of the proceeds.Comment
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If it's an HBO PPV with a full run of 24/7 episodes, then it will do 600K+. That show pushes PPVs to another level and is great at building awareness among people who don't follow the sport closely. Clottey isn't a big name, but people are familiar with Pacquiao and he's drawn a lot of new fans over the past 13 months because of his style.
It also depends how closely the Cowboys and Jerry Jones work with the publicity campaign for this fight. Are they just involved on a local level to sell tickets or will they work on a national level to draw in PPV buyers? If the Cowboys make the Super Bowl, and Bob works with Jerry to spread awareness of the fight at such a high profile event, that probably pushes it to another level.
There's the fall out from the whole blood testing controversy and the Mayweather deal falling apart. I think everyone is disappointed, but there isn't as much outrage among casual fans as there is among hardcore boxing fans. It'll be a small percentage, but there will be people who tune-in out of "Is this guy on steroids?" curiosity.Comment
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Probably less than a million. We want Pac vs Floyd. ....Comment
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