MY BETS this WEEKEND... Thoughts/Advice???

[Kball15]

JEAN PASCAL to WIN.................-275 (Bad Odds but i think its a lock)

BRADLEY-PETERSON Over 11.5 Rounds............... -215

DARCHINYAN-ROJAS Under 8.5 Rounds.............. -165

JUAN DIAZ to WIN.......... -150

KLITSCHKO-JOHNSON Over 9.5 Rounds............ +135


Thoughts/Advice would be much appreciated

[Dorian]

They seem alright to me, good luck to you!

[dc6112]

They seem alright to me, good luck to you!

I only bet on the Diaz fight, but I bet on Paul. I think there are too many factors favoring Paulie more in this fight, a bigger ring most importantly, and he will ride his quick jab all the way to the final bell in what should be a more decisive victory. I like Juan, but Paulie has to have the edge in confidence as well as motivation going into this fight. Plus -150 is terrible odds for Diaz. I'd bet him at -120, maybe, and then it's if I thought he'd win. But -150 is not enough value IMO. Nothing is in his favor this time that was in the last fight, and Paulie knows how to beat him now. +120 on Malignaggi was an easy bet for me. He'll prolly just get robbed again though and I'll flip my ****.

[Kball15]

I only bet on the Diaz fight, but I bet on Paul. I think there are too many factors favoring Paulie more in this fight, a bigger ring most importantly, and he will ride his quick jab all the way to the final bell in what should be a more decisive victory. I like Juan, but Paulie has to have the edge in confidence as well as motivation going into this fight. Plus -150 is terrible odds for Diaz. I'd bet him at -120, maybe, and then it's if I thought he'd win. But -150 is not enough value IMO. Nothing is in his favor this time that was in the last fight, and Paulie knows how to beat him now. +120 on Malignaggi was an easy bet for me. He'll prolly just get robbed again though and I'll flip my ****.

Diaz claims he didnt take Paulie very seriously the first time, and coming off a fight against a HOFer and absolute LEGEND i tend to believe Diaz.

On top of that he probably wont get cut so early this time.

AND the fact that paulie is as one-dimensional as they come. He will have the same exact gameplan as the first time.

Diaz can only really fight one way as well, but he has more flexibility ESPECIALLY because he is the guy that will be coming forward.

On top of that, if its another close fight, i think the judges will favor Diaz's much flashier combinations over Paulies jab.

There were spots in early in the first fight where Diaz was absolutely pummeling Malignaggi, and i thought he was on his way to making another man quit or get a corner stoppage. But he couldnt quite get over the hump and he let Malignaggi get back into the fight. I think that with the boosted motivation, the better training camp, and possibly a refined gameplan, will help Diaz get over the hump and help him win a much clearer decision

[dc6112]

Diaz claims he didnt take Paulie very seriously the first time, and coming off a fight against a HOFer and absolute LEGEND i tend to believe Diaz.

On top of that he probably wont get cut so early this time.

AND the fact that paulie is as one-dimensional as they come. He will have the same exact gameplan as the first time.

Diaz can only really fight one way as well, but he has more flexibility ESPECIALLY because he is the guy that will be coming forward.

On top of that, if its another close fight, i think the judges will favor Diaz's much flashier combinations over Paulies jab.

There were spots in early in the first fight where Diaz was absolutely pummeling Malignaggi, and i thought he was on his way to making another man quit or get a corner stoppage. But he couldnt quite get over the hump and he let Malignaggi get back into the fight. I think that with the boosted motivation, the better training camp, and possibly a refined gameplan, will help Diaz get over the hump and help him win a much clearer decision

This may be. But fights with styles such as this, I believe, tend to be more exaggerated versions of the first fight. The reason being is that both men are fairly one dimensional, as you said. If that is the case, with the bigger ring, I just think that Paulie's jab and fast feet will keep Diaz chasing and with less success. I think Paulie will be training just as hard as Diaz, possibly harder, and come fight night I think he will be in maybe the best shape of his career. And the judges will be weary of robbing him again if it's close, IMO, because they know the history. Either way, good luck to you with your bets, except for this one

[ThunderWolf]

I really wish Juan Diaz will win. You know the reasons.

[dc6112]

Diaz claims he didnt take Paulie very seriously the first time, and coming off a fight against a HOFer and absolute LEGEND i tend to believe Diaz.

On top of that he probably wont get cut so early this time.

AND the fact that paulie is as one-dimensional as they come. He will have the same exact gameplan as the first time.

Diaz can only really fight one way as well, but he has more flexibility ESPECIALLY because he is the guy that will be coming forward.

On top of that, if its another close fight, i think the judges will favor Diaz's much flashier combinations over Paulies jab.

There were spots in early in the first fight where Diaz was absolutely pummeling Malignaggi, and i thought he was on his way to making another man quit or get a corner stoppage. But he couldnt quite get over the hump and he let Malignaggi get back into the fight. I think that with the boosted motivation, the better training camp, and possibly a refined gameplan, will help Diaz get over the hump and help him win a much clearer decision

My only worry with Paul is that he may suffer a hand injury, which would really suck for me. In that case a win for him becomes less of a certainty.