Pacqiuao vs Mayweather: a serious compubox analysis

[mathed]

You made an analysis based on numbers. I can't express how ****** that is.

BUT, according to Ellerbe, "The numbers don't lie", lol. Just thought that was appropriate given the previous two statements.

[Pullcounter]

You are making an assumption about their styles though saying it is a wash, that is a flaw in your whole analysis.

no, I'm saying its beyond the scope of this analysis... not even you know what the result of the clash of their styles will be.

BUT based on the punchstats, pac will outwork floyd

[mr.thraz]

[boxing_great]

that cam is very very dark

[mr.thraz]

that cam is very very dark

yeah its the middle of the night here, did wanna turn up the lights.

[Warbeast]

i strongly agree with this one.

floyds defense wont kill pac.

pacs offense will kill floyd.

[balistik94]

Mayweather vs Hatton a "serious" compubox analysis

compubox stats taken from Hatton's and Mayweather's last 3 fights before their 2007 showdown.

The Stats:

In Hatton's last 3 fights before the Mayweather bout he's thrown an average of 61 punches per round and landed an average of 21.7 punches per round; at a 35.3% connect percentage.

Hatton's opponents landed at connect percentage of 29%.

In Floyd's last 3 fights before the Hatton bout he's thrown an average of 37 punches a round and landed an average of 16.5 punches per round; at a 44.3% connect percentage.

Floyd's opponents landed at a connect percentage of 17%.

The Math

So here's the math... to figure out how many average punches per round fighter A would land on fighter B we simply multiply the average number of punches thrown per round of fighter A by the connect percentage of fighter B's opponents and average that with fighter A's average punches landed per round.

Here's the number crunch folks:
In a heads up match up, Floyd would land [(37 x 29%) + 16.5]/2 = 13.61 punches per round on Hatton, and Hatton would land [(61 x 17% ) + 21.7]/2 = 16.03 punches per round on Floyd.

Conclusion of the Analysis:

Even though Floyd is more accurate by 9% and his defense is better by 12%, Hatton's high workrate overcomes the deficit and Hatton manages to outland Floyd by 2.42 punches per round.

Prediction:

Considering Hatton will outland and outpunch Floyd based on this analysis, I predict that Hatton will win a SD or close UD.

NOW HERE IS WHAT HAPPENED WHEN THEY FOUGHT


Mayweather outlanded Hatton in almost every round and stopped him in the 10th.

Conclusion : Do not predict fights with punch stats.

[balistik94]

Pullcounter where you at?

[Burner]

You made an analysis based on numbers. I can't express how ****** that is.

Lol..beat me to it...

So hes saying all the punches that Pac threw vs. Hatton...Cotto..ODH..Diaz and JMM will be there for him against Floyd.

This might be the dumbest thread in NSB history.

[Burner]

mayweather vs hatton a "serious" compubox analysis

compubox stats taken from hatton's and mayweather's last 3 fights before their 2007 showdown.

the stats:

in hatton's last 3 fights before the mayweather bout he's thrown an average of 61 punches per round and landed an average of 21.7 punches per round; at a 35.3% connect percentage.

Hatton's opponents landed at connect percentage of 29%.

In floyd's last 3 fights before the hatton bout he's thrown an average of 37 punches a round and landed an average of 16.5 punches per round; at a 44.3% connect percentage.

Floyd's opponents landed at a connect percentage of 17%.

the math

so here's the math... To figure out how many average punches per round fighter a would land on fighter b we simply multiply the average number of punches thrown per round of fighter a by the connect percentage of fighter b's opponents and average that with fighter a's average punches landed per round.

Here's the number crunch folks:
In a heads up match up, floyd would land [(37 x 29%) + 16.5]/2 = 13.61 punches per round on hatton, and hatton would land [(61 x 17% ) + 21.7]/2 = 16.03 punches per round on floyd.

conclusion of the analysis:

even though floyd is more accurate by 9% and his defense is better by 12%, hatton's high workrate overcomes the deficit and hatton manages to outland floyd by 2.42 punches per round.

prediction:

considering hatton will outland and outpunch floyd based on this analysis, i predict that hatton will win a sd or close ud.

now here is what happened when they fought


mayweather outlanded hatton in almost every round and stopped him in the 10th.

Conclusion : Do not predict fights with punch stats.

severly owned......ouch,