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Do I need to mention for the 500th time I predicted Hopkins to beat Moby? Okay.
Here's the percentages I've worked out for both fights. As these are pick 'em fights, then my scores are understandably close. If it's a close match up then obviously the chance of victory is lessened on both sides. That's just ****ing obvious.
Okay, here we go:
Haye-Valuev.
My pick: Valuev. I'm torn with this one, but I give Haye just a 49.1% chance of victory here. I hope to be proven wrong, but Haye is still an unknown quantity at the weight. This is what makes it such a hard pick, as Haye has only had two heavyweight fights and we don't know if he can even deliver or take a full heavyweight punch yet. His stamina also remains a factor, and I can see him being empty after round ten. Despite all of that, I would have still swung the vote in his favour... were the bout not held in Germany. I've already seen Valuev win two fights that he arguably lost. So my pick is not based solely on what will happen, but what the judges will say happened.
Cotto-Pac.
My pick: Cotto. I give Cotto a 52.34% chance of victory here, decreasing by 0.4% for every round past round five. Pacquaio is mentally stronger, but it was only three fights ago that he was being given fits by JMM. Although JMM is the superior technician, Cotto is no slouch, and Pacquaio has been flattered by an old De La Hoya and a Hatton that made it even easier for him than it should have been. Cotto by close points or ground down late stoppage.
Here's the percentages I've worked out for both fights. As these are pick 'em fights, then my scores are understandably close. If it's a close match up then obviously the chance of victory is lessened on both sides. That's just ****ing obvious.
Okay, here we go:
Haye-Valuev.
My pick: Valuev. I'm torn with this one, but I give Haye just a 49.1% chance of victory here. I hope to be proven wrong, but Haye is still an unknown quantity at the weight. This is what makes it such a hard pick, as Haye has only had two heavyweight fights and we don't know if he can even deliver or take a full heavyweight punch yet. His stamina also remains a factor, and I can see him being empty after round ten. Despite all of that, I would have still swung the vote in his favour... were the bout not held in Germany. I've already seen Valuev win two fights that he arguably lost. So my pick is not based solely on what will happen, but what the judges will say happened.
Cotto-Pac.
My pick: Cotto. I give Cotto a 52.34% chance of victory here, decreasing by 0.4% for every round past round five. Pacquaio is mentally stronger, but it was only three fights ago that he was being given fits by JMM. Although JMM is the superior technician, Cotto is no slouch, and Pacquaio has been flattered by an old De La Hoya and a Hatton that made it even easier for him than it should have been. Cotto by close points or ground down late stoppage.
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