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Muhammad Naimov (13-3) enters UFC 323 with momentum, earning back-to-back unanimous decision wins over Bogdan Grad in June and Kaan Ofli in February following a tough submission loss to Felipe Lima. Naimov’s grinding style and improved wrestling have defined his recent performances as he comes into his fight this weekend against Mairon Santos.
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Mairon Santos (16-1) rides a three-fight UFC streak, outpointing Sodiq Yusuff and Francis Marshall after blasting Kaan Ofli by second-round TKO. The 25-year-old volume striker continues to show sharp boxing and durability as he comes into his fight this weekend against Muhammad Naimov.
Here are the UFC 323 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC 323 odds: Muhammad Naimov-Mairon Santos odds
Muhammad Naimov: +215
Mairon Santos: -265
Over 2.5 rounds: -230
Under 2.5 rounds: +175
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Why Muhammad Naimov will win
Last Fight: (W) Bogdan Grad – DEC
Last 5: 4-1
Finishes: 8 (5 KO/TKO/3 SUB)
Muhammad Naimov’s grinding style and well-rounded game give him multiple paths to beat Santos at UFC 323. His willingness to mix measured combinations with clinch work and takedowns can disrupt Santos’ rhythm and keep the Brazilian from settling into his preferred long-range striking game.
Defensively, Naimov has shown durability and composure against strong strikers, absorbing early shots before turning fights with pace and pressure. His ability to control the center, push Santos to the fence, and bank control time can sway the judges in what figures to be a competitive three-rounder.
On the mat, Naimov’s edge becomes even clearer, as Santos is far more proven as a striker than as a grappler. If Naimov chains takedown attempts, rides top position, and forces Santos to work off his back, the physical and cardio tax should tilt later rounds in his favor.
➡️START WATCHING HERE (ONLY WEEK PASS $7.99)
Mairon Santos (16-1) rides a three-fight UFC streak, outpointing Sodiq Yusuff and Francis Marshall after blasting Kaan Ofli by second-round TKO. The 25-year-old volume striker continues to show sharp boxing and durability as he comes into his fight this weekend against Muhammad Naimov.
Here are the UFC 323 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC 323 odds: Muhammad Naimov-Mairon Santos odds
Muhammad Naimov: +215
Mairon Santos: -265
Over 2.5 rounds: -230
Under 2.5 rounds: +175
*Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (Get Access | Save $30)*
Why Muhammad Naimov will win
Last Fight: (W) Bogdan Grad – DEC
Last 5: 4-1
Finishes: 8 (5 KO/TKO/3 SUB)
Muhammad Naimov’s grinding style and well-rounded game give him multiple paths to beat Santos at UFC 323. His willingness to mix measured combinations with clinch work and takedowns can disrupt Santos’ rhythm and keep the Brazilian from settling into his preferred long-range striking game.
Defensively, Naimov has shown durability and composure against strong strikers, absorbing early shots before turning fights with pace and pressure. His ability to control the center, push Santos to the fence, and bank control time can sway the judges in what figures to be a competitive three-rounder.
On the mat, Naimov’s edge becomes even clearer, as Santos is far more proven as a striker than as a grappler. If Naimov chains takedown attempts, rides top position, and forces Santos to work off his back, the physical and cardio tax should tilt later rounds in his favor.
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