CompuBox Analysis: Mayweather vs Marquez

[BIGPOPPAPUMP]

By CompuBox - Saturday’s showdown between former pound-for-pound king Floyd Mayweather Jr. and consensus number-two all-rounder Juan Manuel Marquez is filled with intrigue, story lines and questions. They include:

* How much of his skills does Mayweather, a solid 4-to-1 favorite, still have following a 22-month layoff?

* How will the 144-pound catchweight (Mayweather’s lightest since he weighed 139 for Arturo Gatti in June 2005) affect “The Pretty Boy” – and how will the additional pounds affect Marquez, who was last seen knocking out Juan Diaz at 135?

* Will beyond-the-ring distractions (the upcoming assault trial of his uncle/trainer Roger, his car being linked to a shooting at a roller rink and whispers of tax troubles) affect Mayweather’s focus and execution?

* At 36 and with many hard fights recently, will Marquez show his age?

* Is Marquez asking too much of himself by fighting a younger, quicker, stronger and rested fighter at an unfamiliar weight?

Only fight night – and hindsight – can offer answers but the numbers offer a glimpse of what might be. [details]

[worldbestmcotto]

floyd is back , just like my Miami hurricanes football squad!! I got a bet for 5 bills that money is beating pee pee mouth, can't wait to collect!!

[tito yuca]

I loved this part, especially the bolded:

Waste not, want not: The secret to Mayweather’s success lies in his extraordinary efficiency. In his last two appearances against Oscar De La Hoya and Ricky Hatton he averaged 40.1 and 32.9 punches per round respectively, far below the 58.8 the average welterweight throws. While he landed 43 percent and 39.2 percent overall, he connected on an eye-popping 57.3 percent of his power shots against “The Golden Boy” and 38.9 percent of them against Hatton. At the same time, Mayweather tasted a far lower percentage of his foes’ power shots – 24 percent from De La Hoya and 16.8 percent of Hatton’s. In a sport where the percentage gap between shots landed and punches fielded are in the single digits, Mayweather’s plus-minus ratings of plus-33 against De La Hoya and plus-22.1 against Hatton border on the superhuman.

But it was a close fight, right?

[Navyboxer1109]

By CompuBox - Saturday’s showdown between former pound-for-pound king Floyd Mayweather Jr. and consensus number-two all-rounder Juan Manuel Marquez is filled with intrigue, story lines and questions. They include:

* How much of his skills does Mayweather, a solid 4-to-1 favorite, still have following a 22-month layoff?

* How will the 144-pound catchweight (Mayweather’s lightest since he weighed 139 for Arturo Gatti in June 2005) affect “The Pretty Boy” – and how will the additional pounds affect Marquez, who was last seen knocking out Juan Diaz at 135?

* Will beyond-the-ring distractions (the upcoming assault trial of his uncle/trainer Roger, his car being linked to a shooting at a roller rink and whispers of tax troubles) affect Mayweather’s focus and execution?

* At 36 and with many hard fights recently, will Marquez show his age?

* Is Marquez asking too much of himself by fighting a younger, quicker, stronger and rested fighter at an unfamiliar weight?

Only fight night – and hindsight – can offer answers but the numbers offer a glimpse of what might be. [details]

It would be foolish to say that marquez is gonna walk in there and make Mayweather look bad...or vice versa. I say that objectively mind you, because the way I see it, knockdowns and bullying don't seem to work on Marquez too well. He picks up steam as the rounds go on, and his chin is solid, even though he's susceptible to knockdowns, which can't be mistaken with knockouts. He'll never be faster than Mayweather, this we all know, but he's got some speed in his hands, and power to go with it, so there's always a puncher's chance of clipping Mayweather with something unexpected. Mayweather on the othe hand is a master of the rolling game, and can make marquez miss very easily expending more energy trying to hit what's not there, than actually hitting his mark. All in all, I see it as a 40/60 chance, the 60 going to Mayweather. I don't delute myself into thinking that as good as Floyd is, he's untouchable, because that is simply not the case. Chop chop and Zab both gave him moments of trouble during their fights, and even hatton had a few roudns that were surprisingly well fought. I'd just look at it as a toss up for right now. Many will disagree, but all in all both fighters are bringing a fair game to the ring that night, and as all true boxing fans know, there are no real predictions on fight night. (except if you're fighting Butterbean). LOL

[Ch@mpBox@PR]

Compu Box Numbers sucks Major ass, I tell you what!!!!!!!

Im still laughing and then having Clottey landing 19 punches in the 6th round vs Cotto, when he didnt even threw 19 punches in the whole round!!!!!


Compubox is nothing more than a dude pressing a button!!!!

[tesla_power]

Compubox says Mayweather continued his shrewd matchmaking. Follow it up by saying he has every conceivable advantage except the long layoff. I wonder what are they really trying to say. hehehe. Oh well.

[leonthegee]

floyd will stop pee pee mouth bet the farm on it.

[NachoMan]

Compu Box Numbers sucks Major ass, I tell you what!!!!!!!

Im still laughing and then having Clottey landing 19 punches in the 6th round vs Cotto, when he didnt even threw 19 punches in the whole round!!!!!


Compubox is nothing more than a dude pressing a button!!!!

Co-signed. Not sure why so many people put stock into CompuBox.

[boricuarn]

I know Gayweather:wank: has all advantages against a little and small guy like Marquez, but I will go for the bigger heart which is Mr. Peewe (URINE) Marquez. I hope Marquez blow hard and strong enough to suffocate Gayweather. Against all prediction I am going for Marquez with a late KO. I know Gayweather will run like a ***** all night trying not to fight a man because she is so afraid or a real man.

[Al Haymon]

I loved this part, especially the bolded:

Waste not, want not: The secret to Mayweather’s success lies in his extraordinary efficiency. In his last two appearances against Oscar De La Hoya and Ricky Hatton he averaged 40.1 and 32.9 punches per round respectively, far below the 58.8 the average welterweight throws. While he landed 43 percent and 39.2 percent overall, he connected on an eye-popping 57.3 percent of his power shots against “The Golden Boy” and 38.9 percent of them against Hatton. At the same time, Mayweather tasted a far lower percentage of his foes’ power shots – 24 percent from De La Hoya and 16.8 percent of Hatton’s. In a sport where the percentage gap between shots landed and punches fielded are in the single digits, Mayweather’s plus-minus ratings of plus-33 against De La Hoya and plus-22.1 against Hatton border on the superhuman.

But it was a close fight, right?

Well, only the less knowledgeable boxing fan thinks it was that close a fight. Some of these guys are , like, 19 or 20 years old and have only have watched boxing for a couple of years.

Floyd landed about a hundred more punches than Oscar did. If someone was really watching the fight, they would see that Oscar was soundly outboxed, and DLH landed very few clean shots.

It's always entertaining to me to see Floyd's detractors say "he got a SPLIT decision". As if FMJ has fault that one judge got it totally wrong.