should i bet on pacquiao now?

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  • IceTrayDaGang
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    #11
    Originally posted by pasawayako
    i will bet only 1k usd for pac round 9-10 ko/tko win.
    i hate doing bets like that... it's too hard to win.. i just bet that pac will win. no betting which round or how it will end. just straight to the point, got manny as the winner so we'll see how this plays out..

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    • just the facts
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      #12
      Originally posted by IceTrayDaGang
      never really done legal betting for any sports... is it a good time to bet on pac now? or should i wait? im afraid the odds will start to favor pac more as it gets closer to the fight. should i just bet now or wait for a few weeks? im doing something light.. right now if i put $2k on manny, im set to win $4.2k back. should i do it now?
      Doesn't matter, you're gonna lose either way.

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      • just the facts
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        #13
        Originally posted by pasawayako
        i will bet only 1k usd for pac round 9-10 ko/tko win.
        You don't have 1k US dollars.

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        • YoungManRumble
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          #14
          Originally posted by IceTrayDaGang

          i hate doing bets like that... it's too hard to win.. i just bet that pac will win. no betting which round or how it will end. just straight to the point, got manny as the winner so we'll see how this plays out..
          Yeah those aren't worth making big bets on. I'm a very casual small-stakes gambler, and even I don't try to pick that specific for long odds. At most I'll take 1-6 or 7-12. Even picking KO or Decision is pretty risky though. Made that mistake this weekend thinking Pedraza was a lock underdog but did not foresee him getting a stoppage so I bet Decision to get better odds. It would have been a crummy weekend had I not hedged it with a live Pedaza moneyline bet since the blind ass bookies had him as even more of a dog in round 3-4 for whatever reason despite him boxing so well I was considering just going all in lol...

          WarRoom and keithj seem to be giving the best advice.

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          • Roadblock
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            #15
            Originally posted by IceTrayDaGang
            never really done legal betting for any sports... is it a good time to bet on pac now? or should i wait? im afraid the odds will start to favor pac more as it gets closer to the fight. should i just bet now or wait for a few weeks? im doing something light.. right now if i put $2k on manny, im set to win $4.2k back. should i do it now?
            You will probably get the best odds now, but its very fickle things can change drastically if something happens that might affect the outcome.

            My guess is Manny will probably shorten in odds as the fight nears he could even become a betting favorite as the hype and momentum build.

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            • YoungManRumble
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              #16
              Don't Filipinos love to gamble too? Depending on what book you play there could be a lot of homer money coming in on ol' Pac..

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              • IceTrayDaGang
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                #17
                Originally posted by War Room

                No wait. There could be bad news about sparring or weight you won't get until the day of the weigh-in. Always wait until after the weigh-in. Pro advice here.

                Take the money line, nothing else.
                but what if the odds starts to favor manny more as it gets closer? then it wouldnt be worth betting on pac anymore. right now pac is the underdog but once it gets closer to fight time and training videos starts coming out, more people is gonna start picking pac to win. i already made the bet so we'll just have to wait and see how the fight goes.

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                • War Room
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                  #18
                  Originally posted by IceTrayDaGang

                  but what if the odds starts to favor manny more as it gets closer? then it wouldnt be worth betting on pac anymore. right now pac is the underdog but once it gets closer to fight time and training videos starts coming out, more people is gonna start picking pac to win. i already made the bet so we'll just have to wait and see how the fight goes.
                  You lose a few points on the money line so what, better than getting news he had big problems making weight and loses because of it. Or him coming to the weigh-in with a black eye and rumors of him getting knocked out in sparring.

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                  • Roadblock
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                    #19
                    Originally posted by IceTrayDaGang

                    i hate doing bets like that... it's too hard to win.. i just bet that pac will win. no betting which round or how it will end. just straight to the point, got manny as the winner so we'll see how this plays out..
                    Not if he thinks this is how it will go that's what betting is about calling the play and cashing in, he is better to bet the big odds on the KO he wants as his main bet and then have a saver bet on the win just to cover the bigger bet on the KO , depending on the odds as an example say a horserace with 10 starters you can have say 10 units on 2 of them 30 units on the another if any of the cover bets get up you win 5 units , if your main bet gets up you win 15 units, its mathematics once you know the odds, there is always a losing element but you can hedge your bets to get a collect from multiple chances.

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                    • pasawayako
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                      #20
                      Originally posted by IceTrayDaGang

                      i hate doing bets like that... it's too hard to win.. i just bet that pac will win. no betting which round or how it will end. just straight to the point, got manny as the winner so we'll see how this plays out..
                      me too but i am very confident about this fight and the way i look how pac is doing in his training it makes me think that this will be a very one sided beatdown in favor of pac.

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