Which scenario is more likely in Pavlik vs. Williams?

[dc6112]

Since most people here appear to be of the opinion that either a Pavlik KO or a Williams Decision are the outcomes this fight will have(Myself included in believing Pav KO's PWill) which alternative do you think is more likely: A Pavlik win by decision or a PWill KO?

I am gonna say a Pavlik decision because Pavlik has proven he can fight 12 rounds in the MW division as he did against Taylor. Now some will say PWill did also against Winky. But Winky was 37, Taylor was 29. Winky was in a turtle shell throughout the fight and has little power, especially late in the fight coming off 2 years of no fights. Taylor was a dangerous puncher, even late, Winky was never a knockout threat throughout the fight vs. PWill. And finally, I think the difference in power in favor of Pavlik is greater than the difference in boxing/defensive skills/punch output in favor of PWill. That is the core of my argument. What do y'all think.

[Ravishing]

I think Williams' constant work rate can cause issues for Pavlik, but...I'm still not sold on Williams' power against a legit and fresh 160lb fighter, let alone the Middleweight Champ.

The main key that Williams has over many fighters (height and reach) will be gone in this fight, so we'll really see what Williams is made out of. He CAN pull out the win if he's throwing at a high rate, but a right hand from Pavlik could also make it a short night if Williams isn't careful.