My boxing picks are the worst.....

[Deeznuts]

So I started betting on sportsbook which i never did until i started predicting outcomes of fights. Sometimes I would get them right even at what round it was going to end by KO. So my first bet was Adamek over Cunningham which turned out to be a good payout based on the odds. After that I cannot seem to get a win mainly because I base my wins on the odds instead of my reasoning. So i lost on the Hatton vs Pac fight, Joel Julio vs. James Kirkland, Andre Ward vs. Edison Miranda, Andre Berto vs. Luis Collazo, Marquez vs. Diaz, Arce vs Darchynian

So i was like fk it im going to bet even if its against the odds based on reasoning. I bet Berto over Urango and won. So im thinking what can i bet on that would bring a sure win. So i bet on Danny Perez a guy who is 34-6 against Carlos Molina who is 16-4. I went for Perez who was the obvious choice to me and got fkn screwed

[LA BAD BOY]

you only had bad luck.

[Ryn0]

When I make a pick, I study the fighters weaknesses and strengths on video, when they have been hurt and defence.

For example when I picked Mosley over Margarito, I looked at how often Margarito got tagged against Cotto and how he walked through Cottos punches and came on strong late when Cotto started faltering. Then I looked at Mosley and how he doesn't falter late and has a great workrate and good power with a great chin. I thought Mosley would win early and then not fade late and I was right.

When I don't do this I lose, I lost when I picked Diaz over Marquez, Torres over Holt, Wright over Williams because they were impulse "look at boxrec" picks.

[James 420]

If you do research you'll win more than you lose,look at the boxers, promoters, and where they are fighting. Obvious stuff like hometown guys usually get the decision. I won Hatton vs Pacquiao since Hatton throughout his career has trouble with leftys as do most boxers.I lost Wright vs Williams because I didn't give Williams activity enough credit.

[Mighty_Windir]

Two words: Teddy Atlas.

[fallenloki]

Two words: Teddy Atlas.

Damn. Beat me to it!

[S A M U R A I]

Use your head, ignore what the odds say or what the majority pick.



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[Deeznuts]

Yea i should, but i mean its hard to when you got three to one odds on what seems to be an even match. When we used to have prediction tournaments here I used to end up in the top ten. The last one that we had here I came second. Im going to stop betting as much as I used too

[Heru]

If the odds aren't good on a favorite, but you're confident he's gonna win, it's better to just sit it out. Wait until you get a real good underdog or low favorite, like Pacquiao was only 3/1, 2/1 favorite against Hatton.