Ortiz vs. Arnaoutis on March 7 - An Early Statistical Look

[BIGPOPPAPUMP]

An early statistical look on the March 7 clash between junior welterweight prospect Victor Ortiz and top contender Mike Arnaoutis. The fight will headline on an HBO televised tripleheader at The Tank in San Jose, California. [details]

[badboypeenoy]

An early statistical look on the March 7 clash between junior welterweight prospect Victor Ortiz and top contender Mike Arnaoutis. The fight will headline on an HBO televised tripleheader at The Tank in San Jose, California. [details]

More stats:

Mike Arnaoutis age 29

Titles
Former WBO NABO light welterweight champ (defended thrice)
Current USBA light welterweight champ (defended once)

Current Ranking, Jr.Lightweight. #12WBC, #11WBA, #7IBF, #6WBO

record last 10 fights = 8(4KO) - 2 - 0

last 10 fights

Opponent's record 158 wins (114 by KO), 44 losses, 6 draws
Number of opponents coming from a win - 7
Number of opponents coming from a loss - 3
Opponents coming from 2 losses in a row or more - 1
Opponents who held regional title/s - 6
Opponents who held a version of the world title - 2
average age of opponents 28.9
opponents above 35 = 1 (stoppage win)
opponents above 30 = 2 (UD wins)
opponents below 30 = 7 (5[3KOS]-2-0)
number of southpaws faced = 2 out of 10 (both in 2008)


Victor Ortiz age 22

Titles
Current WBO NABO light welterweight Champ (defended once)

Current Ranking, Jr. Lightweight #5WBA, #4WBO, #10IBF

Record last 10 fights - 10(8KOS)-0-1draw

last 10 fights

Opponent's record - 206 wins (131 by KO), 72 losses, 7 draws
Number of opponents coming from a win - 3
Number of opponents coming from a loss - 7
Opponents coming from 2 losses in a row or more - 5
Opponents who held regional title/s - 6
Opponents who held a version of the world title - 1
ave age of opponents 32.6
opponents above 35 = 5 (stoppage wins)
opponents above 30 = 3 (stoppage wins)
opponents below 30 = 2 (UD win and Draw)
number of southpaws faced = 0

[badboypeenoy]

Last 10 fights:

Victor Ortiz:

Number former opponents who hasn't fought since fighting Ortiz, or those that is currently on a losing streak - 8 (includes Maussa and Clottey)
Number of former opponents who have more wins than losses after fighting Ortiz - 2 (Includes Cordova who drew with Ortiz)



Mike Arnaoutis:

Number former opponents who hasn't fought since fighting Mike, or those that is currently on a losing streak - 5
Number of former opponents who have more win than losses after fighting Arnaoutis - 4

[deuce_drop]

good fight, i'm taking mighty mike in this one, it's a tall order but i believe he has the experience to frustrate ortiz and beat him. after his losses, i think arnaoutis is refocused and wont let the fight get out of his control....... he can't afford to, ortiz is going to be coming at him all fight long, and i think that plays into arnaoutis's game plan, urango did that and almost got beat, i will go so far as to say, if arnaoutis vs urango was in any other location other than hollywood florida, urango's adopted hometown, he would've won on the cards, by at least four rounds.................... urango got away with a draw. arnaoutis fought urango well and he had a very come forward style, although, ortiz has more to show as far as variety in punches, but all in all, it plays into the counter puncher style of arnaoutis.....


tough, tough, fight, all the way through, neither guy has it easy........... and a lot riding on the fight......

[badboypeenoy]

An early statistical look on the March 7 clash between junior welterweight prospect Victor Ortiz and top contender Mike Arnaoutis....

Advantages
Power - Ortiz
Chin - Even
Skill - Ortiz
Speed - Even
Reach - Even
Height - Arnaoutis
Experience - Arnaoutis
Stamina - Even

Power - Ortiz

Ortiz has more power, right, but he also hasn't faced another southpaw. We don't know if he can land his power shots against Arnaoutis who is a relatively decent defensive counter-puncher. You also have to bear in mind that Arnaoutis has more first-round stoppages than Ortiz, he isn't a Malignaggi.


Chin - Even

I don't think Arnaoutis have been dropped before, but Ortiz apparently has - by a nobody. Arnaoutis went 12 rounds against heavy hitters Torres and Urango. It was also reported that he took the Urango bout while on training Holiday and outboxed the heavy-hitting southpaw to a draw in Urango's own backyard, and of course we all know that he dropped Torres and had him in trouble in the late rounds, lost the fight though on a split decision.


Skill - Ortiz

Hard to tell, Ortiz hasn't fought anybody that would give us a good gauge of his skill level. A shot Maussa only lasted a round and even in that fight, Moussa threw and landed more punches than Ortiz. Ortiz' skill level against another southpaw is also a big question mark while Arnaoutis in 2008 has knocked out and boxed a shut-out against southpaws who both have a fairly high KO ratio.


Speed - Even

Ortiz just looks fast fighting fighters who are above 35 years old.


Reach - Even

Arnaoutis just utilizes his jabs more.


Height - Arnaoutis

Isn't a factor as Ortiz faced fighters as tall as Arnaoutis.


Experience - Arnaoutis

Not a factor, Ortiz has faced fighters with more experience than Arnaoutis.


Stamina - Even

Ortiz' cardio is questionable, his level of competition doesn't give him enough rounds for us to gauge if he can carry his work rate for 12 rounds.


Analysis

I think Ortiz will be more confident coming into this fight. I also think that Ortiz is a lot hungrier. Couple this with Arnaoutis' tendency to be too cautious and we might see another Torres-fight-like performace for Arnaoutis and I don't think that will be enough to win against Ortiz.

But styles make fights, Ortiz might just turn-out to be clueless against a southpaw and Arnaoutis might just prove to have a better game against southpaws and box his way to a decision win. If Arnaoutis' punches could makes Ortiz think twice about being too ****y, I think Mighty Mike could just pull it off.

[BIGPOPPAPUMP]

[QUOTE=badboypeenoy;4758108]Power - Ortiz

Ortiz has more power, right, but he also hasn't faced another southpaw. We don't know if he can land his power shots against Arnaoutis who is a relatively decent defensive counter-puncher. You also have to bear in mind that Arnaoutis has more first-round stoppages than Ortiz, he isn't a Malignaggi.


Chin - Even

I don't think Arnaoutis have been dropped before, but Ortiz apparently has - by a nobody. Arnaoutis went 12 rounds against heavy hitters Torres and Urango. It was also reported that he took the Urango bout while on training Holiday and outboxed the heavy-hitting southpaw to a draw in Urango's own backyard, and of course we all know that he dropped Torres and had him in trouble in the late rounds, lost the fight though on a split decision. [QUOTE]

Mighty Mike has been down more than once. The Holt fight for sure.

[juandabomb]

Ortiz by 8th round stoppage over Mikey

[*Dinamita]

somehow, badboypeenoy believes Barbie Conception has a better record then Ortiz, lmfao.

[Ryn0]

Mighty Mike has been in there with some world class 140 lbers but I think Ortiz will take this, Mike dropped decisions to Holt and Torres and drew with Urango and Urango at that stage had very little boxing skill just raw power.

[raabd]

mighty mike is definetly a better test than vivian harris would have been for ortiz