Originally posted by marsman
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My BOLD PREDICTION: Hopkins Will Shock the World
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It's not that far fetched because after all Pavlik is moving UP in weight so nobody knows how he will be able to take a punch at 170lbs or if his endurance and power will move up with him. But I wouldnt bet money on Hopkins winning nevermind actually knocking Pavlik out cold. I'm going with Pavlik by UD.
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Let me walk some of you through this.
1) Who has Hopkins KOed lately? That's what I thought.
2) Who has Hopkins even hurt in a recent fight? Joe was hit off balance on the knock down and got right up feeling more embarrassed then hurt, most fair minded people can see that.
1) Who has Pavlik KOed latley? Miranda, Taylor, and Pumpkinhead to name a few.
2) Does Pavlik have a bad chin? He dropped his hands to act tough against Taylor and he got caught with about 8 to 10 clean shots that put him down. Then he got up pretty collected and won the fight by KO.
So what does this all mean? Hopkins wont win by KO. Not a chance. None. He could win on the cards, but I dont see it. Kelly just throws too many punches, and too many hard punches for a fight in spots and hold type fighter like Hopkins (at this age.) I think just making it the full 12 will be a victory for Hopkins.
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if it was a young prime hopkins i have no doubt in my mind he would ko pavlik.. but this is an old 43 years hopkins.. i do not think the ko will happen but there is a chance, so anything can happen.. i hope bhop can pull off the upset.. i think pavlik is overrated and overhyped and i think the main reasons are is because he has a fan friendly style and because he is currently serving as the american white hope. i think pav has a good work rate, decent power but not great ko power like people believe, he has the basics as far as fighting goes.. but he's pretty much a 1-2 basic fighter.. he's going to be relying on his strength and he assumes he is stronger than bhop.. i dont think he is.. he also thinks bhop hasnt gone up against big guys - guess he forgot bhop fought tarver, - a guy that could probably fight at heavyweight and calzaghe, - a guy who has fought at super middleweight and higher for his career.. pav has only fought above middleweight once.. then there is the experience and level of opposition factor and that favors bhop.. miranda isnt that great of a fight neither is lockett.. taylor is a good name on his resume but he struggled in the 1st fight and was losing before he scored the ko and lost imo the 2nd fight against taylor. u can argue bhop won or earned a draw in any of the taylor fights but besides that bhop has fought up against and beaten better opposition.. its also been said another strong trait of pavlik is he has amazing stamina.. i duno but all that, he has good stamina but he sure did look tired in the 2 taylor fight and if he gets tired against bhop he is going to be in big trouble.. bhop is going to clinch, wrestle and make it rough for pav and that does take a toll on your stamina and body.. anyways, if bhops stamina can hold up, then he should walk away victorious.. but if it doesnt than pav will probably win..
but im pulling for bhop
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