BERT SUGAR'S PRE-FIGHT ANALYSIS. (strengths/weaknesses)

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  • Sin City
    la mala vida
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    #1

    BERT SUGAR'S PRE-FIGHT ANALYSIS. (strengths/weaknesses)

    by Bert Randolph Sugar with Steve Small

    STRENGTHS OF BOTH FIGHTERS

    MIGUEL COTTO

    • Continues to improve every fight, adding a powerful jab (who thought he could outjab Sugar Shane Mosley?) and the ability to fight off the ropes to his devastating left hook to the body.

    • Is faster of foot and hand than Margarito.

    • Possesses a steady, workmanlike style, economical and efficient, which tends to wear down his opponent.

    • Can alter the pace of his attack, something Margarito has shown no evidence of being able to do, combining both offense and defense like alternating currencies and using his jab to dictate the action.

    ANTONIO MARGARITO

    • Is relentless in his attack, his workrate and aggressiveness more than that of Cotto.

    • Has a physical advantage over Cotto. A tall, rangy welterweight, Margarito is five-eleven to Cotto’s five-seven and has a reach superiority of six inches, 73” to 63”, enabling him to dictate the action from the outside.

    • Is one of the most powerful punchers in the game today, Ring Magazine naming him one of the “Top Punchers” in boxing.

    • Can take a punch. Although his record shows five losses--three of those coming in his first 12 fights at the age of 16, one on a technical decision to Daniel Santos and the last a close decision loss to Paul Williams after giving away the early rounds--in none of those losses was he ever hurt.

    • Margarito’s best punch is his left uppercut, and with Cotto the shorter fighter with a tendency to lean over, it might be the “determinator” of the fight.



    WEAKNESSES OF BOTH FIGHTERS


    COTTO

    • Tends to lower his left hand and left shoulder when he throws a hook leaving himself vulnerable to right-hand counters.

    • Cotto has literally no head movement and leads with his head every time he wades in, making him an inviting target for Margarito’s left uppercut, his best punch.

    • Cotto holds his hands to the sides of his head like earmuffs, which may allow Margarito, who has equal power to the body as Cotto, to get to his body.

    • Questions still remain about Cotto’s chin. Wobbled by Ricardo Torres and Chop-Chop Corley and hurt by Zab Judah, Cotto seems, since he moved up to welter and gained seven pounds, to be able to take a punch better. But there’s still the question as to whether he’ll be able to weather Margarito’s heavy punches.



    MARGARITO

    • Margarito’s style is one-dimensional. Fighting flat-footed and planting himself in front of his opponent in a “take-one-to-give-one” manner will give Cotto a chance to outmaneuver him.

    • Speed bothers Margarito, as witnessed by his fight with Paul Williams. And Cotto’s superior speed will give Margarito problems.

    • Margarito throws punches from every angle, sometimes wide, which gives Cotto an opportunity to counter him with straight punches, particularly on the inside.

    • With no head movement at all, Margarito will be “there” for Cotto’s counters.

    WHAT TO LOOK FOR

    • Cotto cannot go toe-to-toe with Margarito, but must find the fight range to get inside Margarito’s longer arms and not remain at the end of his reach.

    • Cotto must keep the flat-footed Margarito off-balance with his jabs and move away from his lethal right hand.

    • Margarito, a slow starter, cannot afford to give away the early rounds, as he did with Paul Williams, but must engage Cotto from the git-go.

    • Ironically, despite his height and reach advantage, Margarito only fights well on the inside and must move inside to make a “war” of it.

    • If the fight goes more than five or six rounds (Cotto’s fight), look for Margarito’s “take-one-to-give-one” style and left uppercut to turn the tide of the battle.



    *my last thread before the fight.. have fun tonight guys!
  • Flawless
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    #2
    Mmw................

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    • Sin City
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      #3
      I'm starting to worry a bit about those uppercuts. Hopefully Cotto has tweaked his game plan and style for it. That's the only real punch I can see Margarito hurting him with.. all the other long looping ones I'm not really worried about.

      I think Cotto has this. Margarito can be hit to the body and will. I expect lots of toe to toe action but I don't expect Miguel Cotto to stand right infront of him either. He will fight giving him angles. He will break Margo's body down and will get the KO/TKO.

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      • Trevbutler
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        #4
        Why do people think Margarito is one of the hardest punchers in the sport? Where is the evidence to support it? Cintron? give me a break.

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        • Sin City
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          #5
          Originally posted by Trevbutler
          Why do people think Margarito is one of the hardest punchers in the sport? Where is the evidence to support it? Cintron? give me a break.
          I think his power is a little overrated but he is heavy handed and a big puncher.
          If Bert Sugar told me something about boxing though.. I would and do listen lol
          The guys been around the sport for a very long time and highly regarded after all these years and still at it for a reason.

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          • Joe2608
            The Red Devils
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            #6
            The only thing i'm worried about for Margarito is Cotto's body punches. If he can subdue Cotto's body onslaught then he has a very good chance of winning, but nobody has stopped it yet in Cotto's 32 fights.

            I know it's not Margarito's style but he has a huge height and reach advantage and to throw that away in a fight of this magnitude is crazy. If he can use his jab more and stay on the outside Cotto won't be able to get near him. But as i said Margarito's style is the complete opposite of that!

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            • warp1432
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              #7
              Originally posted by Sin City
              I think his power is a little overrated but he is heavy handed and a big puncher.
              If Bert Sugar told me something about boxing though.. I would and do listen lol
              The guys been around the sport for a very long time and highly regarded after all these years and still at it for a reason.
              Part of my respect for Bert sugar went down when he had Hagler being on the 50th best fighter of all time. Just 50?

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              • -Swizzy-
                The Wolf
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                #8
                that analysis is to point except for stating that margarito is one of the hardest punchers in boxing. I disagree with that. he gets his ko/tko vicotories because of his style of constantly attacking with wind-up punches. he isn't a naturally powerful puncher.

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                • Brz_Pugilist
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                  #9
                  The only way that Cotto will win this fight is by decision.No way he is knocking out Margarito.I wanna see Margarito at least use the jab.Keep Cotto away,

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                  • Sin City
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                    #10
                    Originally posted by kswizzy99
                    that analysis is to point except for stating that margarito is one of the hardest punchers in boxing. I disagree with that. he gets his ko/tko vicotories because of his style of constantly attacking with wind-up punches. he isn't a naturally powerful puncher.
                    Clottey has never been knocked out and neither has Paul Williams.
                    The only two knock out defeats Cintron has are from Margo.
                    At the end of the day it's hard to tell because he has fought two guys who never been KO'd and a bunch of others who aren't even noteworthy.

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