First off. I have watched the Collazo fight several time(yes it was a job) and i never saw ricky "about to go" as you put it, but that is open to enterpetation.
First the Factors.
Floyd is older, slower, and his power at 130 has long been gone. He is reduced to throwing one shot at a time most ofton because of his defensive poture and has a tendancy to end up on the ropes in defensive mode for long periods of time when pressed. My impression is he is waiting for the opponent to "blow his wad" and then Floyd comes back on the opponent.
Hatton can Take a punch. Yes he was very Fatigued in the Collazo fight, and yes he made tactical errors in that fight, but it was a fight on short notice and hehas had the time and the training to make the move correctly this time. His stamina(other than the collazo fight) is unquestionable. His punch output is well known and he rips to the body consistantly all night long!
How i see the fight:
1 thru 4
Mayweather comes out defensively looking to gauge Hattons speed and power. Hatton comes straight ahead jabbing his way in and looking to hook to the body and shoot the uppercut inside. Hatton is the stronger and manages to outwork Mayweather and surprisingley abler to get inside without taking much Damage. Hatton is ahead 3-1
5 thru 9
By the fifth round, Mayweather legs are starting to tire. Hatton is still pressing and Mayweather is finding himself on the ropes for longer periods of time. Mayweather has cut Hatton and the bodywork Hatton has done is starting to show in the Mayweather corner as things begin to get frantic. By the seventh Mayweather is looking worse than he ever has and is reduced to holding on to stave off the body attack. Somewhere btween the 7th and the 9th Hatton will land the decisive blow. He will close as he has all night and catch Maywether with the left hook to the head dropping Mayweather for the first time in his Career. Mayweather will rise and be saved by the ref!
Thats how i see it!
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