Cotto won't be to wary of Mosley's power early on, possibly paying a price by getting buzzed once or twice. But as the fight progresses, Cotto's relentless pressure will gradually overcome Mosley's competitive drive. The Puerto Rican powerpuncher will wear down Mosley and duplicate what he did against Judah, stopping Sugar Shane in the 11th.
[sidenote]
The oddsmakers have picked Cotto again.
When I was in Las Vegas on June 9th, a funny thing happened to me on my way to betting on Zab Judah. The gentleman who worked at Sportsbook in the Excalibur Hotel/Casino tried to talk me out of it! He warned me that the oddsmakers had been dead on for the first half of 2007 and if Cotto was favored by as much as he was; Judah was probably going to lose. I thanked him for his suggestion and respectfully declined. The rest is shistory.
I don't think there's any way around it; Miguel Cotto is the favorite to win this fight. That's how it is. Period.
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