How Often is the Puncher's Chance True?

[nomadman]

Sam Peter bounced Wlad up and down like a basketball. An in-prime, IN SHAPE Tua is much better than Peter.....the question is: What are the odds Tua shows up in shape?

Once again I think it's all about styles and physical attributes. Peter was a crude slugger and a big rough and tumble guy who physically manhandled Klitschko in the clinch and clubbed him with wild overhand rights and rabbit punches whenever he could. Tua never fought like that to my knowledge. When fighters closed with him he'd lean in his shoulder, plod about, and wait for opportunities to land legitimate punches (usually some variant of the short left hook). Despite his power, fighters often found themselves in relatively safe territory if they kept Tua up close.

Of course a prime Tua is a better fighter that a prime Peter, and a harder puncher than pretty much anyone, but that's my point. Sometimes a harder puncher has less of a puncher's chance due to other disadvantages either in physical traits or stylistic ones. I think Tua's lack of height and relative passivity up close would have allowed Klitschko to clinch him up every time, neutralising his power.

Well, maybe not every time, but you get my point.