Advertisement
Advertisement
Boxingscene.com

Staff Predictions: Julio Cesar Chavez vs. Sergio Martinez

By Jake Donovan

Many in the industry never believed Julio Cesar Chavez Jr would go through with this fight against lineal middleweight king Sergio Martinez.

Many in the industry never believed that two major shows would go head to head on opposing networks while in the same town.

Is it possible that many experts will be wrong about the perceived outcome of this fight?

Let’s go right to it:

PREDICTIONS

I think Martinez will start off fast and build an early lead before Chavez comes on in the middle rounds. Young Chavez will take significant punishment but his youth, size and chin will prove to be the difference as he wins the championship rounds in a somewhat controversial unanimous decision. Cinco De Mayo rematch anyone?
– Ryan Burton (Chavez)

I’ve been one of the few Chavez Jr. supporters from the early years, but don’t believe this at all to be a favorable styles matchup for the unbeaten second generation star. His only saving grace (other than his size) is his granite chin, but I can see Martinez overcoming rough early moments to pour it on and force a stoppage late in the fight.
– Jake Donovan (Martinez)

When the fight was first considered, the initial inkling was, "holy cow, Junior's gonna get hammered."  But the more I've seen him in the intervening months, the more I'm convinced he's ready to pull the upset. The youngster may get badly out-boxed to start things, but he'll ultimately close the distance, hammer the body and chop down a late-30s opponent in the late going.  Chavez TKO 11
– Lyle Fitzsimmons (Chavez)

Martinez- TKO10.  I've always felt Chavez Jr, as much improved as he has become, is still a very lineal fighter in that he seems like he can only fight in straight lines.  That being said, Martinez is all over the place and not likely to be in front of Chavez long enough for Chavez to sustain an attack. Eventually Chavez will become frustrated and start taking chances leaving himself open and fatigued enough where will see Martinez stop it.
– Ernest Gabion (Martinez)

As we just saw with Andre Ward and Chad Dawson, there's a way certain fights happen when a fighter of a higher class goes in against someone who just isn't as smart and isn't as skilled. Size isn't everything. It didn't matter when Arturo Gatti fought Floyd Mayweather, and it didn't matter when Antonio Margarito fought Manny Pacquiao. I look for this fight to be more like Pacquiao-Margarito than like Gatti-Mayweather; there will be some moments in which Chavez gets in work. But those moments will pale compared to what Martinez will do en route to a technical knockout victory.
- David Greisman (Martinez)

Sergio Martinez UD12 over Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. If Chavez cannot make this a physical, borderline-dirty fight, cut off the ring and dig regularly to Martinez's body, he'll be in for a long night. Martinez still moves very well, even at 37, and his high ring IQ will enable him to make the necessary adjustments to combat Chavez's aggression. Despite repeatedly talking about knocking out the iron-chinned Chavez, Martinez won't try to do it a reckless way
- Keith Idec (Martinez)

Martinez SD -  Chavez will be the aggressor in the early round forcing Martinez to box and counter.  Chavez will notch a few of these rounds but will start to fade down the stretch.  Martinez will have Chavez right where he wants him in the championship rounds, but I think Chavez will survive all 12.  Depending how many early rounds Chavez can notch the scorecards may be close but the championship rounds win be the difference for Martinez.
- Tim Kudgis (Martinez)

Sergio Martinez TKO11 Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.  There's no denying Julio Cesar Chavez's durability and rapid development into a legitimate threat to Sergio Martinez.  However, I still like Martinez to confound Chavez with his movement and speed, and stopping him either on his feet or by cuts.
- Ryan Maquinana (Martinez)

Martinez Dec. Chavez: I see Chavez doing much better than some might assume, especially in the first six rounds.  Against Barker and Macklin, Martinez warmed to the task and Chavez has more firepower than either.  If he can grind enough, 37 year old champion's legs could look them on the back half.  I think Martinez will be careful not to stay in the pocket enough to accelerate down the stretch.  Ultimately, talent takes over and Martinez has more of it.  He's beaten some of the best.  Chavez is leaping from borderline contenders to the man.  It's a big leap.  He'll fall short.
– Cliff Rold (Martinez)

Chavez has indeed improved over the last year. His size and strength alone make him difficult to deal with at 160. But Martinez's skills are superior to Chavez. I can see Martinez getting off to a fast start and using his speed and footwork. Junior will eventually come on in the middle rounds as he begins to make up some ground. I expect Martinez however finish strong and get a Split Decision victory.
- Luis Sandoval (Martinez)

The younger guy apparently is making three times more money than the older guy and is considered by many to be the underdog.  My brain for boxing tells me that Julio Ceasar Chavez Jr. won’t go twelve rounds and Sergio Martinez wins in devastating fashion.  This time I’m going with my gut instinct.  I think we’re going to see Chavez somehow hang on and pull off a close or controversial decision victory in Las Vegas. Chavez by UD.
- Frank Stea (Chavez)

Martinez UD. As always, there's a big "if" in all Bob Arum-promoted events, and this one is no exception - it features one of the Top Rank's largest cash cows. Some "unofficial support" of the officials cannot be ruled out. However, hoping for the better (although it is naive), Sergio Martinez should be considered a favorite in the fight. He has showed some signs of slowing down in his recent bouts with the Britons but for me it's a lack of determination and desire against subpar opposition rather than anything else. JCC Jr. made a nice progress this year, but Martinez is way better than Rubio and Lee. I expect a hard-fought albeit convincing decision for "El Maravilla". Chavez will have his chances and he won't be stopped, and the fight will be a reminiscent of Martinez-Pavlik showdown two and a half years ago.
– Alexey Sukachev (Martinez)

Total: Sergio Martinez 9, Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. 3

The Martinez-Chavez Jr. lineal middleweight championship headlines a five-fight HBO PPV card, which airs live from the Thomas and Mack Center in Las Vegas (Saturday, 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT).

Jake Donovan is the Managing Editor of Boxingscene.com. Follow Jake on Twitter at twitter.com/JakeNDaBox or submit questions/comments to [email protected]

User Comments and Feedback (Register For Free To Comment) Post a Comment - View More User Comments (0)
Top Headlines Sor Rungvisai Decisions a Very Determined Juan Francisco Estrada Sor Rungvisai vs. Estrada - LIVE BoxingScene Scorecard McWilliams Arroyo Shocks Carlos Cuadras With Majority Nod Cuadras vs. Arroyo - LIVE BoxingScene Scorecard Donnie Nietes Drops, Stops Juan Carlos Reveco in Seventh Artem Dalakian Decisions a Bloody Brian Viloria For WBA Title Photos: George Groves, Callum Smith - Go Face To Face Sor Rungvisai vs. Estrada - LIVE Superfly 2 Results Anthony Yarde Batters, Stops Tony Averlant in Seven Callum Smith Outboxes Nieky Holzken, George Groves is Next Daniel Dubois Blasts Out DL Jones in Three Rounds Callum Smith vs. Nieky Holzken - LIVE BoxingScene Scorecard Ronnie Clark Shocks Zelfa Barrett in IBF Regional Bout Conte Responds To Wilder's "Always a Cheat" Jab at Luis Ortiz News: Miguel Cotto Update, Lewis Ritson, New England Results Brian Viloria Very Pumped as He Goes For Fifth World Title Bilal Akkawy Beats De Carolis, Moloney Brothers Win, More Callum Smith vs. Nieky Holzken - LIVE Results From Nuremberg Roamer Angulo Collides With Evert Bravo in Yucatan, Mexico Srisaket Sor Rungvisai vs. Juan Francisco Estrada: Stats & Stakes Photos: Sullivan Barrera in Top Form, Grinds Hard For Bivol Shot Josh Taylor To Face Winston Campos, Humberto Soto is Out Callum Smith: I Want To Make Statement To George Groves, Fans Jarrell Miller: Could Be An 'Early Night' for Wilder or Ortiz Golovkin's Promoter Details How Canelo Rematch Was Finalized Adonis Stevenson: Andre Ward is Playing Games, He's Not Retired Hatton: Mayweather-McGregor in MMA Makes Me F***ing Furious Carlos Castro, Alexis Santiago To Battle in Phoenix, Arizona Zolani Tete: Belfast Fans Know I'm The Man To Beat Ryan Burnett Frank Warren Talks Anthony Yarde, Daniel Dubois York Hall Card Coldwell To Eubank Jr. - Beg Adam Booth To Take You Back! Porter: I Think Right Now Thurman is Better Than Errol Spence Bivol Aims To Use Some of Andre Ward's Tactics on Barrera How To Fix The 147-Pound Logjam Of Talent With a Tournament Gonzalez, Cintron, Vargas Wins Bouts in Kissimmee, Florida Hearn Open To Do Joshua-Wilder Twice - One in U.S., One in UK Robert Garcia: Mikey is Special Fighter Like Mayweather, Pacquiao Rances Barthelemy: I Want Mikey Garcia in My Next Fight Estrada: I'm Looking To Knock Sor Rungvisai Out, Leave No Doubt Lemieux vs. O'Sullivan on The Canelo-Golovkin Card?
Advertisement

Latest Active Forum Threads
Advertisement
Advertisement