Official(ish) Boxing Betting Thread

[mlac]

can a mod sticky this? pain in the arse to find it.

can't see anything that jumps out at me yet, some value bets that seem too high off a price:

Bruno Sandvoval 7/1 V Douglas (never seen him though, but douglas took a shellacking in his last fight)

Eubank Jnr tko/ko 15/8 (guaranteed 'British stoppage')

Monaghan 4/1 Browne win's even when he loses so...probably stay well clear of this one)

Kownacki 11/4 never seen him but, younger and fresher, spilka's chin has been cracked

Guerrero 43/20 dude is shot, but hey Figeuroa is not very good and he's a sloppy alcoholic

Joe Smith Jnr 2/1

Miura 2/1

Only the eubank and Smith to win bet's really stand out there tbh

thoughts?

[Eff Pandas]

Only the eubank and Smith to win bet's really stand out there tbh

thoughts?

I don't see anything worth betting on in a Eubank win. That line is insane (or was) & I've even put small money on Abraham at like +700 or something like that. Eubank is a nice favorite here obviously, but I don't believe Abraham is a +700 dog thats for damn sure. I haven't seen a KO prop there, but I could see that worth betting on doe & probably the under too.

I'm rooting on Smith, but I think the Smith WarWagon is getting flipped over this weekend, but I can definitely understand that bet even if I'm passing on it.

Seeing WBSS lines up:

Groves, -410
Cox, +290

Briedis, -410
Perez, +290

Gassiev, -1850
Wlod, +900

Usyk, -2000
Huck, +1000

Dorticos, -215
Kudryashov, +165

Thoughts?

I don't love anything there really except that Dorticos/Kudryashov line. I think thats a 50/50ish fight so whoever was the dog in that one is a decent guy to bet on. Perez @ +290 might be worth considering, although I think I'd personally wanna see that number get bigger. I guess logically Huck being a +1000 dog seems a lil crazy, but then again I just can't envision he has much of a path to victory vs Usyk so idk that I could pull the trigger on that.

[mlac]

I don't see anything worth betting on in a Eubank win. That line is insane (or was) & I've even put small money on Abraham at like +700 or something like that. Eubank is a nice favorite here obviously, but I don't believe Abraham is a +700 dog thats for damn sure. I haven't seen a KO prop there, but I could see that worth betting on doe & probably the under too.

I'm rooting on Smith, but I think the Smith WarWagon is getting flipped over this weekend, but I can definitely understand that bet even if I'm passing on it.

Seeing WBSS lines up:

Groves, -410
Cox, +290

Briedis, -410
Perez, +290

Gassiev, -1850
Wlod, +900

Usyk, -2000
Huck, +1000

Dorticos, -215
Kudryashov, +165

Thoughts?

I don't love anything there really except that Dorticos/Kudryashov line. I think thats a 50/50ish fight so whoever was the dog in that one is a decent guy to bet on. Perez @ +290 might be worth considering, although I think I'd personally wanna see that number get bigger. I guess logically Huck being a +1000 dog seems a lil crazy, but then again I just can't envision he has much of a path to victory vs Usyk so idk that I could pull the trigger on that.

I mean Eubank KO not to win, only Smith to win @ 2/1

Although smith only win's by KO so probably just wait for that line to open...

Apparently the douglas opponent pulled out, no idea who the new guy is..

As for the WBSS, the main bet's that immediately stand out would be Gassiev via stoppage & the Under in kudry v diorticos / a smaller amount of Kudrashyov KO.
I literally cannot for the life of me seeing that fight going past 6. (prolly won't go 3)

Also like Groves via stoppage, Perez is a total unknown, so staying clear of Breidis there and Usyk can win easily on points or easily via stoppage so another no go there.

[Eff Pandas]

As for the WBSS, the main bet's that immediately stand out would be Gassiev via stoppage & the Under in kudry v diorticos / a smaller amount of Kudrashyov KO.
I literally cannot for the life of me seeing that fight going past 6. (prolly won't go 3)

Also like Groves via stoppage, Perez is a total unknown, so staying clear of Breidis there and Usyk can win easily on points or easily via stoppage so another no go there.

Whats the KO lines & unders on those fights? I'm just seeing straight win odds.

[Clegg]

monaghan is 7/2 for the win so cant be 7/2 for ko

miura didnt look great vs mickey roman to be honest mate. looks like hes slowed down since the vargas fight,

i think betting on miura would be a massive mistake, there is no way he has better than a 33% chance of beating berchelt imo which is what he needs to make the bet profitable. miura telegraphs his left hand . berchelt has insane stamina and great combinations head and body. he will probably beat miura up

My bad, must have been reading the wrong column. I'll have a small bet on Barrera but the rest of the fights don't make the odds worth it IMO. Castellanos at 8/1 seems generous, although I don't think he'll win.

[jas]

My bad, must have been reading the wrong column. I'll have a small bet on Barrera but the rest of the fights don't make the odds worth it IMO. Castellanos at 8/1 seems generous, although I don't think he'll win.

naota from the boxing coalition podcast think it will be a close fight- the jezreel fight but personally i think jezreel is really really good and castellanos cant win

[Eff Pandas]

Anyone feeling Chris Avalos over Miguel Flores @ +200ish like I am tonight? Avalos is a f#cking warrior & a low budget Gatti & Flores just engages too much in down in the trenches battles with his bb gun power that can't keep opponents honest & is coming off a KO L to Dat Nguyen & the best W in Dat's 13 year career is Miguel Flores lol.

Obviously don't love that Avalos is coming off a year & change layoff & has lost 3 or his last 4 by KO, but no shame in L's to Frampton, Valdez & Magsayo & I think as long as we get 50% of the Avalos we saw last time vs Magsayo I think he'll win this (dropped him before getting stopped himself in the mid rounds).

Thoughts, opinions?

[jas]

Clegg, dan_cov, Eff Pandas, mlac, Tom Cruise

Hiroto Kyoguchi 4/7
Jose Argumedo 11/8

https://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/h...rgumedo/winner

http://boxrec.com/boxer/551036

surely this is a banker ?

hiroto just seems like clearly the better fighter and he has homefield advantage. noata from the boxing coalition podcast who is an expert on the lower weight classes thinks argumendo will win but i think hes off on this one and its like free money betting on anyone decent beating this dude

[Eff Pandas]

My sportsbook of choice doesn't even got a line up for that fight yet + I've been effing with UFC bets this weekend since not much is going on with boxing at all so haven't even looked into it. The lil guys have been good to me lately (respect to Daigo Higo + Ken Shiro) so I'll look into this one more via the videos. Hirota is on my boxrec watchlist & I'm a fan, but idk enough about Jose so not sure if this is too much too soon or just the right time for a big jump up in class for Hirota.

[jas]

Clegg, dan_cov, Eff Pandas, mlac, StudentOfDaGame, Tom Cruise

hiroto dominated ,

i noticed hiroto went from 4/7 to 1/3. wonder if they are monitoring this thread. i lets feed them bs.

any gems you fellas see in here before the line moves?

https://www.oddschecker.com/boxing