12 pick Bute, 10 pick Froch
not one predicts a stoppage
Romanian-born Canada-based IBF super middleweight titleholder Lucian Bute never has had a numerically close fight as a professional, while his English challenger, Carl Froch, has faced far superior competition.
On Saturday, Bute (30-0, 24 knockouts) will travel into the hometown of Froch (28-2, 20 KOs), where he will attempt to make the 10th defense of his belt before his rival's fans at the Capital FM Arena in Nottingham, England.
Froch made his last appearance at home in October of 2009, where he overcame switch-hitting, previously unbeaten Andre Dirrell by split-decision in the first round of Showtime's Super Six World Boxing Classic tournament.
Of the two men, Froch has the more complete resume, having claimed decisions over ex-world titleholders Glen Johnson, Arthur Abraham and Jean Pascal, and a 12th-round knockout of Jermain Taylor. His two losses came by unanimous decisions against two-time beltholder Mikkel Kessler and RING champion Andre Ward, both in the Super Six.
Bute represents Froch's eighth consecutive RING-ranked opponent, although it should be noted that Pascal and Dirrell were not RING-ranked until after they faced Froch.
Froch has made it known that in his opinion Bute never was good enough to be involved in the Super Six, pointing to the fact that other than once in his native Romania, Bute has never made a title defense outside of Canada.
Froch also used Bute's controversial win over Librado Andrade in October of 2008 to accuse him of getting special treatment from Canadian officials.
Although Bute won the rematch with Andrade by fourth-round knockout in November of 2009, he had benefited from a long 10-count in their initial bout, allowing him to rise from a knockdown and avoid being counted out.
(Click here for video of Bute-Andrade I)
In addition to a win over Johnson, Bute also shares a knockout victory over Brian Magee, a man Froch stopped in the 11th round in May of 2006, while Bute did the same in the 10th in March of last year. Bute also owns knockouts over faded ex-beltholder William Joppy and Edison Miranda.
Exactly what will transpire during Bute-Froch? ******.com asked that question of 22 knowledgeable boxing observers. Below are the results.
Mike Coppinger, ******.com/USA Today
Lucian Bute SD 12 Carl Froch: The fight will be a tit-for-tat affair with lots of grueling in-fighting and posturing along the ropes. Lucian Bute will look to unload his patented power shots to the midsection and will find success.
But Froch will befuddle the Romanian with his underrated boxing ability and educated jab. The rounds will be close and competitive, but Bute's superior athleticism will allow him to edge the hometown fighter.
Record: 7-3
Corey Erdman, ******.com
Lucian Bute UD 12 Carl Froch: There's the prevailing opinion heading into this one that Lucian Bute is overrated and Carl Froch is underrated. I'm going to throw that out the window here: They're both world class fighters.
That being said, I think that Bute has superior technique, and asked for this fight for a reason. He likely sees that he has a hand speed and foot speed advantage, and that if he can avoid Froch's jab often enough, he can beat him to the punch every time.
For Froch, it's not advantageous to turn this into a brawl, because the Canadian's short, tight punches on the inside are fight finishers. I can't outright predict that one of those will land and end the night, but I will predict a victory for Bute.
Record: 5-0
Gareth Davies, The Telegraph
Lucian Bute W 12 Carl Froch: Carl Froch needs to produce the performance of his career to defeat Lucien Bute. The IBF champion is slick, a southpaw, has heavy hands when he wants to. But he also has great movement. He has also prepared meticulously for the Nottingham fighter's style, which has not changed in four to five years.
There is so much to admire in Froch, and he will be the warrior he has always been, and may give Bute some uncomfortable moments. Yet I see Bute winning comfortably on points, unless Froch pulls off a shock.
Record: 7-2
Doug Fischer, Editor of ******.com
Carl Froch SD 12 Lucian Bute: I'm going with Carl Froch by close or split decision. I admit it's a gut pick, and I probably wouldn't go with my gut on this one if it wasn't taking place in Froch's hometown. Lucian Bute is far more talented, athletic and skilled. If they were playing tennis I wouldn't give Froch a chance.
But they're boxing. They're going to be hitting each other. Bute's speed, reflexes and footwork will limit the number of shots Froch lands on him in the early rounds, and he'll probably nail The Cobra with the harder punches. But I think the gritty and resourceful Englishman will gradually work his way into the fight in the middle rounds.
I think Froch will press hard and score well in the final four rounds, which will be very entertaining. I also think the judges will be influenced by the crowd's support of Froch and give the Brit the benefit of the doubt in a number of close rounds down the stretch.
Record: 8-3
Norm Frauenheim, www.15rounds.com
Carl Froch SD 12 Lucian Bute: Paulie Malignaggi’s ninth-round stoppage of Vyacheslav Senchenko in the Ukraine in April is proof that you can go to the other guy’s country and pull off a stunner. But Senchenko doesn’t have Froch’s chin.
The twice-beaten Englishman has never been stopped. It’s hard to see how Bute can do what no one else has, especially in only his second fight outside of Canada since 2005.
The bout promises to be very close, which means Froch gets the edge at home in Nottingham. This one has rematch written all over it, although it’ll be interesting to see if Froch would agree to face Bute at home in Quebec.
Record: 8-3
Lee Groves, ******.com
Carl Froch W 12 Lucian Bute: Lucian Bute is a different fighter now than he was a few years ago. Then he was a speed-oriented, sharp-punching boxer that piled up points. Now he's one of the best one-punch KO artists in the sport.
Because he's looking to blast out opponents with that enormous left uppercut, his volume has declined. This could be bad news against Carl Froch in Nottingham because there he must win his rounds decisively.
Meanwhile, Froch has a busy jab, excellent volume, a style that can throw Bute's timing off and the experience that only comes with fighting a much higher level of competition as of late.
Finally, he has that enormous crowd support that will make noise every time he does something well. That could help swing enough close rounds in his favor to earn the nod.
Record: 2-2
Robert Guerrero, five-belt, three-division titlewinner
Lucian Bute SD 12 Carl Froch: This is a very even match, but I'm leaning toward Lucian Bute to pull off a split decision. I think his southpaw stance will give Carl Froch problems.
Record: 7-3
Igor Guryashkin, ESPN.com
Lucian Bute W 12 Carl Froch: For those who remember Carl Froch's bout with Jean Pascal, expect a bout with fellow Canadian Lucian Bute to be of the same ilk. Both fighters like to fight hard, punch harder and rarely step back.
Froch can lay claim to not only having a better resume than Bute, but perhaps the the toughest sequence of fights in the past three years of any active fighter. But this has surely taken a toll?
Bute is a fresher fighter who seems so confident of victory that he has left his Canadian base where he is a megastar.
Froch has a chin laced with granite, but physically looked lackluster against Ward. Bute will take advantage of this and will win a close points decision, even though it's in Froch's backyard. Bute by decision.
Record: 2-0
Keith Idec, The Record/BoxingScene.com
Lucian Bute SD 12 Carl Froch: Lucian Bute by split decision. Carl Froch has fought the best opposition of anyone in the super middleweight division and, at least on paper, appears to be the toughest opponent of Bute's career.
But Bute will affect Froch with his consistent body punching and slow down Froch during the second half of their 12-rounder.
That'll enable Bute to out-box the ever-confident Froch enough to win a very close fight, even in Froch's hometown.
Record: 5-2
Kevin Iole, Yahaoo!Sports
Carl Froch W12 Lucian Bute: Carl Froch has done better against vastly better competition, and he's fighting at home. Lucian Bute is a quality fighter who has a punishing body attack. Froch, though, is the kind of fighter who will keep Bute on the defensive and often backing up.
I expect Bute to have his moments, but I believe Froch wins in a compelling fight that should have been picked up by either HBO or Showtime. What were those guys thinking?
Record: 9-1
Steve Kim, Maxboxing.com
Lucian Bute W 12 Carl Froch: I like Lucian Bute, even on the road canvas. I think he's a better athlete than Carl Froch, and while unproven, I think he shows he is the real commodity at 168.
Record: 10-1
Ryan Maquinana, CSNBAYAREA/BoxingScene.com
Lucian Bute W12 Carl Froch: A motivated Carl Froch will come out like a lion in front of his hometown crowd. But I think his right hand and bodywork will be negated by Lucian Bute's speed, movement, and accuracy.
I like the southpaw Bute to pull out a close, gutty victory in a bout that will make the cries for a fight with Andre Ward even louder.
Record: 8-2
Jack Obermayer, Fight Fax Inc.
Carl Froch W 12 Lucian Bute: A tough one to call. However, because of the home court edge that Carl Froch has, he'll take a close one. How?
By giving Lucian Bute just enough junk to keep him thinking too much. The Englishman will be ready to stymie his body punching foe. Constant flurries will offset Bute's advances.
Record: 3-1
not one predicts a stoppage
Romanian-born Canada-based IBF super middleweight titleholder Lucian Bute never has had a numerically close fight as a professional, while his English challenger, Carl Froch, has faced far superior competition.
On Saturday, Bute (30-0, 24 knockouts) will travel into the hometown of Froch (28-2, 20 KOs), where he will attempt to make the 10th defense of his belt before his rival's fans at the Capital FM Arena in Nottingham, England.
Froch made his last appearance at home in October of 2009, where he overcame switch-hitting, previously unbeaten Andre Dirrell by split-decision in the first round of Showtime's Super Six World Boxing Classic tournament.
Of the two men, Froch has the more complete resume, having claimed decisions over ex-world titleholders Glen Johnson, Arthur Abraham and Jean Pascal, and a 12th-round knockout of Jermain Taylor. His two losses came by unanimous decisions against two-time beltholder Mikkel Kessler and RING champion Andre Ward, both in the Super Six.
Bute represents Froch's eighth consecutive RING-ranked opponent, although it should be noted that Pascal and Dirrell were not RING-ranked until after they faced Froch.
Froch has made it known that in his opinion Bute never was good enough to be involved in the Super Six, pointing to the fact that other than once in his native Romania, Bute has never made a title defense outside of Canada.
Froch also used Bute's controversial win over Librado Andrade in October of 2008 to accuse him of getting special treatment from Canadian officials.
Although Bute won the rematch with Andrade by fourth-round knockout in November of 2009, he had benefited from a long 10-count in their initial bout, allowing him to rise from a knockdown and avoid being counted out.
(Click here for video of Bute-Andrade I)
In addition to a win over Johnson, Bute also shares a knockout victory over Brian Magee, a man Froch stopped in the 11th round in May of 2006, while Bute did the same in the 10th in March of last year. Bute also owns knockouts over faded ex-beltholder William Joppy and Edison Miranda.
Exactly what will transpire during Bute-Froch? ******.com asked that question of 22 knowledgeable boxing observers. Below are the results.
Mike Coppinger, ******.com/USA Today
Lucian Bute SD 12 Carl Froch: The fight will be a tit-for-tat affair with lots of grueling in-fighting and posturing along the ropes. Lucian Bute will look to unload his patented power shots to the midsection and will find success.
But Froch will befuddle the Romanian with his underrated boxing ability and educated jab. The rounds will be close and competitive, but Bute's superior athleticism will allow him to edge the hometown fighter.
Record: 7-3
Corey Erdman, ******.com
Lucian Bute UD 12 Carl Froch: There's the prevailing opinion heading into this one that Lucian Bute is overrated and Carl Froch is underrated. I'm going to throw that out the window here: They're both world class fighters.
That being said, I think that Bute has superior technique, and asked for this fight for a reason. He likely sees that he has a hand speed and foot speed advantage, and that if he can avoid Froch's jab often enough, he can beat him to the punch every time.
For Froch, it's not advantageous to turn this into a brawl, because the Canadian's short, tight punches on the inside are fight finishers. I can't outright predict that one of those will land and end the night, but I will predict a victory for Bute.
Record: 5-0
Gareth Davies, The Telegraph
Lucian Bute W 12 Carl Froch: Carl Froch needs to produce the performance of his career to defeat Lucien Bute. The IBF champion is slick, a southpaw, has heavy hands when he wants to. But he also has great movement. He has also prepared meticulously for the Nottingham fighter's style, which has not changed in four to five years.
There is so much to admire in Froch, and he will be the warrior he has always been, and may give Bute some uncomfortable moments. Yet I see Bute winning comfortably on points, unless Froch pulls off a shock.
Record: 7-2
Doug Fischer, Editor of ******.com
Carl Froch SD 12 Lucian Bute: I'm going with Carl Froch by close or split decision. I admit it's a gut pick, and I probably wouldn't go with my gut on this one if it wasn't taking place in Froch's hometown. Lucian Bute is far more talented, athletic and skilled. If they were playing tennis I wouldn't give Froch a chance.
But they're boxing. They're going to be hitting each other. Bute's speed, reflexes and footwork will limit the number of shots Froch lands on him in the early rounds, and he'll probably nail The Cobra with the harder punches. But I think the gritty and resourceful Englishman will gradually work his way into the fight in the middle rounds.
I think Froch will press hard and score well in the final four rounds, which will be very entertaining. I also think the judges will be influenced by the crowd's support of Froch and give the Brit the benefit of the doubt in a number of close rounds down the stretch.
Record: 8-3
Norm Frauenheim, www.15rounds.com
Carl Froch SD 12 Lucian Bute: Paulie Malignaggi’s ninth-round stoppage of Vyacheslav Senchenko in the Ukraine in April is proof that you can go to the other guy’s country and pull off a stunner. But Senchenko doesn’t have Froch’s chin.
The twice-beaten Englishman has never been stopped. It’s hard to see how Bute can do what no one else has, especially in only his second fight outside of Canada since 2005.
The bout promises to be very close, which means Froch gets the edge at home in Nottingham. This one has rematch written all over it, although it’ll be interesting to see if Froch would agree to face Bute at home in Quebec.
Record: 8-3
Lee Groves, ******.com
Carl Froch W 12 Lucian Bute: Lucian Bute is a different fighter now than he was a few years ago. Then he was a speed-oriented, sharp-punching boxer that piled up points. Now he's one of the best one-punch KO artists in the sport.
Because he's looking to blast out opponents with that enormous left uppercut, his volume has declined. This could be bad news against Carl Froch in Nottingham because there he must win his rounds decisively.
Meanwhile, Froch has a busy jab, excellent volume, a style that can throw Bute's timing off and the experience that only comes with fighting a much higher level of competition as of late.
Finally, he has that enormous crowd support that will make noise every time he does something well. That could help swing enough close rounds in his favor to earn the nod.
Record: 2-2
Robert Guerrero, five-belt, three-division titlewinner
Lucian Bute SD 12 Carl Froch: This is a very even match, but I'm leaning toward Lucian Bute to pull off a split decision. I think his southpaw stance will give Carl Froch problems.
Record: 7-3
Igor Guryashkin, ESPN.com
Lucian Bute W 12 Carl Froch: For those who remember Carl Froch's bout with Jean Pascal, expect a bout with fellow Canadian Lucian Bute to be of the same ilk. Both fighters like to fight hard, punch harder and rarely step back.
Froch can lay claim to not only having a better resume than Bute, but perhaps the the toughest sequence of fights in the past three years of any active fighter. But this has surely taken a toll?
Bute is a fresher fighter who seems so confident of victory that he has left his Canadian base where he is a megastar.
Froch has a chin laced with granite, but physically looked lackluster against Ward. Bute will take advantage of this and will win a close points decision, even though it's in Froch's backyard. Bute by decision.
Record: 2-0
Keith Idec, The Record/BoxingScene.com
Lucian Bute SD 12 Carl Froch: Lucian Bute by split decision. Carl Froch has fought the best opposition of anyone in the super middleweight division and, at least on paper, appears to be the toughest opponent of Bute's career.
But Bute will affect Froch with his consistent body punching and slow down Froch during the second half of their 12-rounder.
That'll enable Bute to out-box the ever-confident Froch enough to win a very close fight, even in Froch's hometown.
Record: 5-2
Kevin Iole, Yahaoo!Sports
Carl Froch W12 Lucian Bute: Carl Froch has done better against vastly better competition, and he's fighting at home. Lucian Bute is a quality fighter who has a punishing body attack. Froch, though, is the kind of fighter who will keep Bute on the defensive and often backing up.
I expect Bute to have his moments, but I believe Froch wins in a compelling fight that should have been picked up by either HBO or Showtime. What were those guys thinking?
Record: 9-1
Steve Kim, Maxboxing.com
Lucian Bute W 12 Carl Froch: I like Lucian Bute, even on the road canvas. I think he's a better athlete than Carl Froch, and while unproven, I think he shows he is the real commodity at 168.
Record: 10-1
Ryan Maquinana, CSNBAYAREA/BoxingScene.com
Lucian Bute W12 Carl Froch: A motivated Carl Froch will come out like a lion in front of his hometown crowd. But I think his right hand and bodywork will be negated by Lucian Bute's speed, movement, and accuracy.
I like the southpaw Bute to pull out a close, gutty victory in a bout that will make the cries for a fight with Andre Ward even louder.
Record: 8-2
Jack Obermayer, Fight Fax Inc.
Carl Froch W 12 Lucian Bute: A tough one to call. However, because of the home court edge that Carl Froch has, he'll take a close one. How?
By giving Lucian Bute just enough junk to keep him thinking too much. The Englishman will be ready to stymie his body punching foe. Constant flurries will offset Bute's advances.
Record: 3-1
Comment