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Is a vegas bet on McGregor REALLY that dumb?

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  • Is a vegas bet on McGregor REALLY that dumb?

    I'm with most of you maniacs that see this as a circus bc of all of the most obvious reasons.
    BUT w the opening line on McGregor being a 17:1 underdog?!!
    For those who are still in the closet about being at least a little intrigued, isn't it at least worth not paying for the fight, and instead putting that $100 on a McGregor bet?
    Mayweather has all of the logical advantages on paper.
    In practice? He's out of it two years. Plus, there isn't an alpha in the world who isn't terrified of turning 40--not one.
    McGregor is a rangy southpaw with a good chin (he's used to getting hit by 4 oz gloves by people like Nate Diaz who Andre Ward spars with bc he respects his boxing skills btw), and the ability to outwork Floyd in any clinch bc of mma. In fact, McGregor could slip out of something quicker than most boxers, and possibly gain position.
    And finally, and most importantly, Floyd has everything to lose here.
    And no, you triggered ******s...not amongst boxing purists. Floyd is a goat legend; we all know that.
    But Floyd craves mob opinion/attention. If he slips for even a second and gets caught by a McGregor who will comfortably weigh 170 on fight night?? Could it happen?
    Probably not.
    But at 17:1 odds?
    And if Floyd loses, then his ENTIRE career in the eyes of the mob will be forever tarnished. You think he's not at least considering that?
    If you think that doesn't weigh on a man who has gotten comfortable in his 40's with no pressurized combat in two years, then you're not a betting man.

    Enter Conor's mental game. He's the natural alpha here. Floyd has nothing on Conor's mental game. It's the objective truth.
    Conor admittedly studied Floyd...and Tyson and joe Louis and Ali and foreman and Beckham and Lebron and Vince McMahon and brad Pitt and Bruce lee...watch his interviews. If you don't get the point, then you are simple.
    This is a studied tactician in the art of mental warfare. He knows he's not better than many of his opponents physically, so he breaks them mentally before the bell sounds.
    Superstars are so often unappreciated in their time, but these two (McGregor & Mayweather) are best-in-show.
    Floyd beats McGregor's ass all day on paper.
    Let's see if McGregor is smart enough to get in Mayweather's head over the next two months...
    I'd bet 17:1 odds that he might be.

    Am in insane?
    Seriously. I'm open to persuasion here.

  • #2
    Yeah, McGregor flat out doesn't know how to box.

    Southpaw and rangey and all that are just tiebreakers when both guys know how to box.

    His sparring videos are painful to watch.

    Maybe put $100 on it for ****s and giggles but you're never gonna see that money again.

    I think MMA fighters are every bit as talented as boxers but McGregor uses his unorthodox style to punish his aggressive, off-balance opponents.

    He's going to be completely lost having a 12 round boxing match with a guy notorious for not even letting a fight happen in Floyd.

    If that's not enough on its own, I also don't think Conor's going to try that hard to learn. He's talked about getting rich and retiring and making even more money acting/endorsing products etc. I doubt he'd bet on himself and wouldn't be surprised if he's betting against.
    Last edited by ////; 06-15-2017, 09:56 PM.

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    • #3
      I'm a frequent bettor & I don't see enough value in Conor at the +700 lines I've been seeing. I've been looking at twitter sh^t & I saw Floyd at -500 somewhere that someone posted about & I might put all my liquid money on that cuz thats 20% on your money for a fight this is as much of a lock as you can probably make a fight.

      In general I think you'd wanna bet the props on this fight when they get released (might be already I just haven't visited a sportsbook today). If you legit think Conor can win betting on Conor by KO is gonna pay a much sexier ROI or Floyd by KO in rds 7-9 might be more worthwhile to bet on then just Floyd to win. Or whatever you're take is on the fight I'm merely speculating on what my feelings are (if Conor wins it won't be by decision & if Floyd stops Conor it'll probably be in the mid to deeper rounds).

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      • #4
        Only 17-1? I was hoping for like 200-1, Or Something like when that Italian chick beat Serena Williams in tennis at the US Open 2 Years Ago. Of course, Floyds gonna Win, but I was hoping for like 200, 300-1, to just Bet for giggles. If Conor gets a Lucky shot, Thats life changing for whoever Bet on him LOL. That Said, Floyd gonna knock this bum clear out, LOL And we all Know it. Floyd aint knocked anyone out in A While, but its coming now. That dude going out like Rod Salka!

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        • #5
          Juts burn the money instead at least you'll get some heat from it. Yes it's that dumb.

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          • #6
            17-1 is a rip off actually. It should be 5000-1 in all honestly. If Floyd fought paulie malignaggi at 147, paulie would be a bigger underdog than McGregor. Everything about this fight a joke from every angle lol. There NO VALUE betting on this fight at all. If anything bet on the fight not going 12

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            • #7
              By the logic you listed you would be better finding a horse at 500/1, at least the horse is trained to run against other horses.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by King Jaffe Joffer View Post
                17-1 is a rip off actually. It should be 5000-1 in all honestly.
                LOL, but you aren't bsing. Dmitry Bivol is a -3000ish favorite over a solid respectable guy with 20 odd fights Saturday & Floyd is only a -1100ish favorite over a guy without a amateur or pro boxing bout under his belt. How the F does that make sense? Apparently a lot of mfers are throwing money on Conor.

                Whenever a fight is this much of a lock & the line doesn't make sense you bite the bullet & bet the favorite at whatever the best odds you can find are. I've been seeing -800 for Floyd which is f#cking nuts. And I've seen Floyd at -500 on twitter which is a whole other level of insanity & I'm shopping for that site as we speak cuz I wanna increase my liquid $$$$ by 20% with virtually no risk.

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                • #9
                  In reality, he's worse than a 17:1 favorite. He almost a 0% chance of winning this thing.

                  Floyd hasn't boxed in 2 years - correct. McGregor hasn't boxed in 28 years.

                  Professional, elite boxers couldn't beat him. There is no way a non-boxer will. There's just no way anyone can reasonably dress this thing up. It's like asking a netball team to beat the best basketball team at basketball. A cricket team to beat the best baseball team at baseball. It ain't happening.

                  A bet on Floyd is potentially the safest bet in the history of sports betting.

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                  • #10
                    Yeah. It's that dumb. If Gregor beat at least an undercard fighter before going into this fight, then I would at least consider it.

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