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CompuBox Analysis: Hopkins vs. Calzaghe

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  • CompuBox Analysis: Hopkins vs. Calzaghe

    By CompuBox - It is difficult to fathom that two athletes boasting a combined age of 79 can legitimately claim to be two of the top 10 participants in any sport this side of horseshoes and shuffleboard, but such is the case with 43-year-old Bernard Hopkins and 36-year-old Joe Calzaghe.

    On April 19 at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, "The Pride of Wales" (44-0, 32 KO) will make his debut on U.S. soil when he fights "The Executioner" (48-4-1, 32 KO) for Hopkins’ Ring Magazine light heavyweight title. Calzaghe is a 2 ½-to-1 favorite to make his American invasion a successful one.

    Hopkins and Calzaghe are two members of a very select group: Champions who have compiled reigns of more than 10 years encompassing 20 or more title defenses. In recent years, each has achieved his success with vastly different approaches, and the contrast in styles is just one element of several that makes this match an intriguing one.

    Calzaghe has prospered with a dynamic high-volume offense that emphasizes hand and foot speed as well as unpredictable punching sequences from the unusual angles produced by his southpaw stance. This was most evident in his landmark 12 round trouncing of Jeff Lacy on March 4, 2006 in Manchester, where the longtime WBO super middleweight champion bedazzled his IBF counterpart with unceasing blizzards of combinations. Calzaghe averaged 79 punches per round – 58 of which were power punches – en route to a massive 351-116 connect advantage overall and 280-100 power punch bulge. Calzaghe’s constant work limited Lacy’s offense considerably as he managed just 37 punches per round (18 below the divisional average of 55). While Calzaghe landed 41 percent of his power punches, Lacy could muster 28 percent accuracy. [details]

  • #2
    Good read.

    And these are very telling numbers people tend to overlook with hopkins:

    And if Calzaghe is a high-revving racecar engine, Hopkins is engine sludge.

    Consider what havoc Hopkins wreaked on the offenses of his last three opponents: Jermain Taylor, Antonio Tarver and Ronald "Winky" Wright:
    Taylor (against Daniel Edouard, William Joppy and Raul Marquez)
    Punches thrown: 49.8 per round
    Overall accuracy: 42.9 percent
    Power punch accuracy: 52.6 percent
    Landed jabs per round: 9.3
    Landed power punches per round: 12
    Taylor (in two fights against Hopkins)
    Punches thrown: 35 per round (29.8 percent fewer)
    Overall accuracy: 24.9 percent
    Power punch accuracy: 29.6 percent
    Landed jabs per round: 4.2 (54.9 percent fewer)
    Landed power punches per round: 4.6 (62.7 percent fewer)

    Tarver (against Roy Jones III, Glen Johnson I and Glen Johnson II)
    Punches thrown: 64.6 per round
    Overall accuracy: 28.9 percent
    Power punch accuracy: 34.6 percent
    Landed jabs per round: 5.4
    Landed power punches per round: 13.2
    Tarver (against Hopkins)
    Punches thrown: 36.4 (43.7 percent fewer)
    Overall accuracy: 17.8 percent
    Power punch accuracy: 22.7 percent
    Landed jabs per round: 2.5 (54.7 percent fewer)
    Landed power punches per round: 4.0 (69.7 percent fewer)

    Wright (against Ike Quartey, Jermain Taylor and Sam Soliman)
    Punches thrown: 64.1 per round
    Overall accuracy: 34.5 percent
    Power punch accuracy: 44.1 percent
    Landed jabs per round: 7.7
    Landed power punches per round: 14.4

    Wright (against Hopkins)
    Punches thrown: 51.5 (19.7 percent fewer)
    Overall accuracy: 27 percent
    Power punch accuracy: 24.4
    Landed jabs per round: 7.2 (6.5 percent fewer)
    Landed power punches per round: 6.7 (54 percent fewer)

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    • #3
      Interesting, Compubox went with Calzaghe based on age and inactivity. I was expecting something about those infamous 100+ punches a round.

      Comment


      • #4
        These numbers are irrelivant! Calzaghe will use his offense as defense and BHOP will look every year of his 43 y.o. Calzaghe's jab and BHOP age will be the telling numbers.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Addison View Post
          Interesting, Compubox went with Calzaghe based on age and inactivity. I was expecting something about those infamous 100+ punches a round.
          You better be using the word "punches" lightly.

          Comment


          • #6
            I think that its worth pointing out that I think Calzaghe became a much more confident fighter when something worthwhile was on the line. Against Lacy, he looked 10 times the fighter he has against lower opposition, and then the same against Kessler. As he's stated himself, he just cant get motivated for lesser opponenets.

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            • #7
              Very interesting read. This shows you how good Hopkins is at limiting a fighters punch output. If Cal wins it won't be from just outworking Hopkins. This fight will be a chess match.

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              • #8
                Look at hopkins last few notable fights

                2 fights against the over rated Jermain Taylor He Lost

                Fight against a slow sluggish Antonio "Legend in his own Mind" Tarver. He Won

                Fight against the blown up old Jr Middleweight Winky Wright He Won in a you lean on me for awhile then I lean on you snoozer

                Does anyone really wonder why Calzaghe is the favorite??

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by bluemax View Post
                  Look at hopkins last few notable fights

                  2 fights against the over rated Jermain Taylor He Lost

                  Fight against a slow sluggish Antonio "Legend in his own Mind" Tarver. He Won

                  Fight against the blown up old Jr Middleweight Winky Wright He Won in a you lean on me for awhile then I lean on you snoozer

                  Does anyone really wonder why Calzaghe is the favorite??
                  ***********************************
                  i do idiot, considering hopkins has been the "old fighter" in just about all his fights, and ppl pick calzaghe to win based on hopkins being the "old" fighter, and joe c outworking him. what's new?

                  and u wanna look at resumes:

                  joe c's biggest wins came against 2 young, very overrated fighters in kessler and lacy. both were predicted to win based solely on their boxing "power," while totally ignoring the fact that either guy can't really box worth a damn..... and yes, EITHER guy. kessler sucks...........

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