Advertisement
Advertisement
Boxingscene.com

CompuBox: Klitschko vs. Thompson II Pre-Fight Analysis

By CompuBox

In July 2008, Wladimir Klitschko was given a stiffer-than-usual challenge by a most unusual challenger. At 6-5, Tony Thompson was just one inch shorter and his 81 1/2-inch reach was a half-inch longer.  Also, his southpaw stance allowed his blows to come in at unfamiliar angles, which surely contributed to his success.

Still, Klitschko's power slowly wore Thompson down and resulted in a 11th round knockout. Saturday  on EPIX TV, they meet again, this time in Berne, Switzerland. Will the 40 year-old Thompson become the oldest first-time heavyweight titlist (supplanting 37-year-old Jersey Joe Walcott) or will "Dr. Steelhammer" maintain the Klitschko brothers' iron grip? Their CompuBox histories offer the following clues:

Act One: Their first fight was not action-packed, for Klitschko averaged 39 punches per round to Thompson's 38.7 (the division average is 42.4). However, Thompson swept Klitschko in connects (150-121 overall, 57-36 jabs, 93-85 power) and was the more accurate puncher (36.8%-29.4% overall, 30.4%-21.8% jabs, 42%-34.8% power). But Klitschko landed the harder punches all fight and  his one-punch power eventually  left Thompson flat on his back.  Many of Thompson’s connects were pitty-pat shots that landed while the fighters were in a clinch.

Better at Re-takes: Klitschko has fought four rematches and improved the result each time (Carlos Monroe: WDQ 6, KO 6; Chris Byrd: W 12, KO 7; Samuel Peter: W 12, KO 10 and Lamon Brewster: KO by 5, KO 6). Of those, CompuBox tracked three of them and when one considers the percentage of total connects, Klitschko's dominance grew from fight to fight.

Against Chris Byrd in 2000, Klitschko logged 65.73% of the connects (234-122) but in the 2006 rematch it was 69.65% (117-51). Despite losing to Brewster, Klitschko landed 73.61% of the blows (120-43) but in the rematch he landed 76.25% (199-70). Finally, Klitschko boasted 67.1% of the connects against Peter in fight one (204-100) and 80.22% in the rematch (142-35).

In beating Thompson, Klitschko's share of the total connects was just 44.65%. History says he'll do much better on Saturday.


 

COMPUBOX ANALYSIS – WLADIMIR KLITSCHKO vs. TONY THOMPSON II

Thompson's Latest: "The Tiger" earned this rematch on the strength of his three-round TKO over Maurice Harris in an IBF eliminator. Thompson was in control throughout, overwhelming the listless 244-pound Harris with volume and scoring knockdowns in rounds two and three before a follow-up barrage prompted referee Vic Darkulich to intervene at the 1:51 mark of the third.

Averaging 93.4 punches per round -- more than twice the heavyweight average -- Thompson built connect leads of 72-16 (overall), 17-5 (jabs) and 55-11 (power) and was the more precise puncher overall (29.5%-24.6%) and in power shots (39.3%-24.5%). Harris only led in jab percentage (24.9%-16.3%) but Thompson's 104 jabs overshadowed Harris' 20.

Prediction: As was the case in fight one, Thompson's frame, volume and left-handedness will present a far different picture than Klitschko is accustomed to and thus will take time to solve. But solve it he will. Don't be surprised if Klitschko duplicates his TKO victory, and it may come slightly sooner.

User Comments and Feedback (Register For Free To Comment) Post a Comment - View More User Comments (0)
Top Headlines Porter: Thurman Needs To Step Up - Stop Babying His Elbow! Joseph Diaz Warns Gary Russell - You're Next, I Want That Belt! Mikhalkin's PED Suspension Nearly Made Him Quit Boxing in 2016 Joseph Diaz Drops Terrazas Three Times, Crushes Him in Three Wilder: Tyson, Lewis Should Be Praising Me - Your Era is Gone! Ali's Comeback: The Untold Story - New Documentary Coming Photos: Luis Nery Looks Sharp During Workout in Japan Sanchez Breaks Down Carlos Cuadras' First Camp in Big Bear Lucas Matthysse Ready For Thurman, Pacquiao, Danny Garcia Photos: Rances Barthelemy Putting in Work for Relikh Rematch Photos: Sor Rungvisai, Estrada - Face To Face at Final Presser Carlos Adames Inks Promotional Pact With Top Rank Hearn: Jarrell Miller is a Threat, Fighting Joshua Would Be Exciting Canelo: Fans Will Get What They Desire - A Knockout of Golovkin! Parker: If Joshua, Hearn Looking Past Me - They Will Get a Surprise! Charlo: Golovkin Knows Pressure’s On, Fierce Dog Waiting for Him Sergey Kovalev Feels That He's Finally Reaching His Full Potential Groves: I'm Confident That I'll Fight For The Muhammad Ali Trophy Michael Farenas Returns on April 7th in Calgary, Canada Showtime Sports To Debut New Digital Show on February 28 Canelo-Golovkin Rematch Finalized For T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas Mike Tyson: Deontay Wilder Could Beat Me? I Don't Think So! Dmitry Bivol Unites With 'Faith Fighters International' Teens Brook: Fighting Khan Means More Than Winning Another Title Photos: Callum Smith, Nieky Holzken - Square Up at Final Presser Bivol: Mikhalkin Underestimated; Not Easy Opponent for Kovalev Jacobs: Sulecki is Game; Let's See if He Can Take the Punches Adonis Stevenson Very Confident He'll KO Badou Jack: Don't Blink! Martin Murray: I'll Retire if Saunders Wins, Confident I'll Beat Him BoxingScene.com's Television Picks of The Week - Feb. 22 George Groves: James DeGale's Value Has Diminished Significantly Haye Believes That He Would Do a 'Muhammad Ali' on Joshua Mikey Garcia's Coach Feels Errol Spence Fight is The Wrong Move Luis Nery: This Time I'll End Yamanaka in The Sixth Round Donnie Nietes Versus The Clock Canelo's Trainer: GGG Will Be The Same Fighter, Never Changes! Rigondeaux's Coach: Rigo Should Not Suffer Over One Bad Night David Benavidez: I Hope To Fight Gilberto Ramirez, George Groves Photos: Joseph Diaz, Victor Terrazas - Ready For Indio Battle Canelo Will Hit Colorado in March To Prepare For Golovkin
Advertisement

Latest Active Forum Threads
Advertisement
Advertisement