Advertisement
Advertisement
Boxingscene.com

B-Scene Staff Predictions: 'MAY DAY' PPV Sales

By Jake Donovan

Several challenges are in store for Floyd Mayweather on Saturday evening, not all of which exist in the ring. Conversely, the more difficult challenge for the sport's pound-for-pound king may not come from the fists of Robert Guerrero, but from his ability to carry an event on his own.

Tonight's pay-per-view event serves as Mayweather's debut with Showtime after having spent the majority of his career on longtime industry leader HBO. Showtime has dramatically closed the gap between the two, even winning in the ratings during dueling televised cards on April 27. 

Still, this pay-per-view telecast comes without a marketable B-side - Guerrero's story is well-known in boxing circles, but hardly a mainstream attraction. The show also serves as the first time since 2009 in which Mayweather will not benefit from Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez serving as part of the supporting cast.

The show was originally designed for the two to appear in separate bouts. However, Alvarez opted out after unsuccessfuly securing a guarantee from Mayweather and the event's handlers that a head-on collision was in store for September.

That leaves Mayweather's name to carry the show. 

Will it be enough to continue his current run of surpassing the one-million pay-per-view units sold plateau (which also happens to be the unofficial break-even point)? 

Read on to see how the staff at Boxingscene.com believes tonight's major event will fare at the box office.

B-SCENE STAFF PREDICTIONS: 'MAY DAY' PAY-PER-VIEW UNITS SOLD

"1.4 mill"
- Damien Acevedo (over 1 million)

"Pre-fight program ratings aside, there's no denying that Showtime and CBS have done a hell of a job in promoting the product, as well as Swanson Communication and Golden Boy Promotions. People don't necessarily need to watch every show to know an event is going on; awareness is enough to segue to intrigue. Along with maintaining his '0', Floyd will also remain the sport's most bankable fighter, pulling in 1.25 million buys. Not enough for the record books, but enough for everyone to enjoy a profit." 
- Jake Donovan (over 1 million)

"I'm not sure it's the competitive match that Mayweather/Cotto was, but I think Guerrero's done a good enough job of selling the fight that it'll get to a range somewhere between 800K and a million buys."
- Lyle Fitzsimmons (under 1 million)

"Mayday will do 675,000 buys and will not be formally announced." 
- Ernest Gabion (under 1 million)

"1.1 million"
- Ryan Maquinana (over 1 million)

"MAY DAY May 4 Pay-Per-View show will do 1.2 million buys."
- Richard Najdowski (over 1 million)

"Is this the fight where Floyd dips below a million buys?  Considering all the exposures its had, that would be a bit of an upset.  It won't match Cotto, but let's go 1.1 (million)."
- Cliff Rold (over 1 million)

"One million buys. This fight is relying solely on Mayweather's name alone and without Saul Alvarez on the undercard to lend a hand, Mayweather's drawing power will be tested. Money however is indeed the sports biggest draw and with the help of CBS, Showtime, All Access and his two documentaries, it will be enough to keep Floyd's PPV buys in the 7 figures."
- Luis Sandoval (Even)

Totals: Over 1 million - 5; Under 1 million - 2; Even - 1

Jake Donovan is the Managing Editor of Boxingscene.com, as well as a member of Transnational Boxing Ratings Board, Yahoo Boxing Ratings Panel and the Boxing Writers Association of America. Twitter: @JakeNDaBox
User Comments and Feedback (Register For Free To Comment) Comment by chaosisme on 05-04-2013

[QUOTE=FALLENSOLDIER;13326255]what streams are you lookin at???[/QUOTE] same ones every week. be a guru or something

Comment by chaosisme on 05-04-2013

is this a serious article? if you care about ppv sales and think paying per view is a good thing, you're a chode. i dont pay for basketball playoffs or care how much money their sponsors rake in. wtf. i…

Comment by FALLENSOLDIER on 05-04-2013

[QUOTE=turnedup;13326169]I will just say the free streams are excellent tonight!![/QUOTE] what streams are you lookin at???

Comment by ailicec on 05-04-2013

If this fight does over 800,000 then mayweathrr fights in September, if not then he knows better not to go up against Marquez vs Bradley and Canelo. Fight ends in the 8th round, with Guerrero's corner throwing in the TOWEL.

Comment by turnedup on 05-04-2013

I will just say the free streams are excellent tonight!!

Post a Comment - View More User Comments (13)
Top Headlines Lewis Ritson vs. Paul Hyland, Josh Kelly vs. Kris George - June 16 Claressa Shields vs. Hanna Gabriels Set For June 22, Showtime Dmitry Bivol's Future Plans are Detailed By His Manager Malignaggi Definitely Wants To See a Broner-Vargas Rematch Charlo Wants to Test Himself Against Golovkin 'On the Way Out' Jessie Vargas-Adrien Broner: Afterthoughts Bellew: I'm Ready For War, Ready To Beat David Haye at All Costs Liam Cameron Warns Jenman That He's in For a Real Hard Night Joseph Parker Ready To Face Dillian Whyte To Get Back on Top Horn's Promoter Rips Top Rank For Approaching Crawford-Khan Bellew Fears That it May Take a Death For Boxing To Tackle PEDs Adrien Broner's Post-Fight Antics Create Yet Another Black Cloud GGG Promoter: We Feel Vanes Has Better Credentials Than Spike Francisco Vargas Pushing Hard To Secure Berchelt Rematch Golovkin: Vanes is Not an Easy Fight, This is a Real Guy Photos: Golovkin, Martirosyan - Square-Up at Media Workout Gary Russell: I Don't See Joseph Diaz Fight Being a Long Night Photos: Gennady Golovkin, Vanes Martirosyan - Go Face To Face Photos: Jessie Magdaleno Putting in Work for Isaac Dogboe Photos: Pacquiao, Matthysse - Face To Face at Petronas Towers Tony Bellew: I Had Meetings With UFC Stevenson vs. Jack Now Heads To Toronto, Not Montreal Malignaggi: Charlo and Davis Can Hang With GGG and Loma CompuBox By The Numbers: 4/21 Showtime & ESPN+ Andrzej Fonfara vs. Ismayl Sillakh on June 16 in Warsaw Konstantin Ponomarev, Ismael Barroso Return on 5/12 in Riga Conlan Can Get Olympics Revenge as Nikitin Inks With Top Rank Jessie Magdaleno Vows To Put on a Show Against Isaac Dogboe Weekend Review: Charlo, Davis, Frampton Shine - Donaire Falls Nicola Adams Inks Managerial Deal With Goodwin Boxing Results - Cantu, Vargas, Giyasov, Kuzmin Win Bouts Jermall Charlo Expects to Return for August Fight in Houston Gervonta Davis: Lomachenko Would Have to Be Pay-Per-View Fight Broner: My Stock's Up After Vargas Fight; I Performed for Y'all! Amir Khan: The Kell Brook Fight Has to Happen at 147 Pounds Frampton Hopes To Get Valdez, Selby or Warrington Next Naoya Inoue - Boxing's Next Boogeyman Alexander Povetkin Expects To Fight Anthony Joshua Next Matthysse: Pacquiao's Moment is Over - Now It's My Turn! Hearn: Khan Has 'Half a Dozen' Massive Fight Options Right Now
Advertisement

Latest Active Forum Threads
Advertisement
Advertisement