Calderon will box circles around this kid. Segura is a one dimensional slugger of the worst kind for this level of fighting (the best kind for action fight though). He's a one dimensional slugger that blows his load early.
For Segura to win, he'll need to fight somewhat like Cotto did against Foreman. How is that Q? It's staying in the middle of the ring and pivoting off your back foot. No chasing, no running into punches, no wild misses.
Granted, Segura doesn't have the jab, short, accurate punches, patience, and timing Cotto has, but the style and tactic is there because Cotto made Foreman get uncomfortable and lead and at the same time Foreman must've felt like Cotto was putting tons of pressure on him.
Segura needs to base his tactics on that, be patient, go to the body for the first 7-8 rounds, and drown Calderon late with waves of punches. I doubt Capetillo would be able to set that type of gameplan up though. Segura will have to hope he's able to catch Calderon a few times on the chin and knock him out early or he's gonna get outboxed.
|