|05-08-2008, 06:29 AM||#1|
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MMA betting strategy
Here is my MMA betting FAQ. All comments are welcom, post them so it will be easier to upgrade my strategy.
It’s not enough to think – he’s good, he should win. You have to consider many things, there are no identical fights.
Skills - it's a well-known fact
Records and rankings – it’s easy to check them but they are not the most important thing. Facing each other are not rankings but two strong guys trained to fight. When you look at the records you should check the class of opponents who are in these records.
Strategy – knowing your fighter and his opponent you offten know what’s his strategy. You have to think it over here how capable of executing it he is.
Strong points and weaknesses – just like strong/glass jaw, condition(Phil Baroni), tendency to being cut above the eyebrow(Nick Diaz)
Physical details - height,weight, physical power, reach of hands.
Age and experience in MMA.
Fight mentality - tendency to get oneself unnecessary exchanges, show offs which can cause harm.
Pressure - was the last fight won or lost. How much in a row. Sometimes a fighter is too relaxed and self-confident or even the opposite.
Injuries - offten hidden, have an influence on the course of the fight, though the preparation is even a bigger influence. It would be good to know if one of the fighters isn't hiding an injury which would prevent him from a normal preparation for a fight. Though it's hard to get to these issues.
Training team - very important thing. You have to know who is the fighter training with, where he has been preparing for the fight. Changing teams offten brings positive results.
Takedowns skills and defence against them - it's very often a matter of fundamental importance, you can even not finish somebody but by being on the top you score points.
Submissions and defence against them.
Ring/octagon - it will be different for a fighter, who fought mainly in the octagon, to switch to the ring and vice versa.
Travel before the fight - sometimes a fighter has to fly all over the world to fight with the host, accommodation, jet-lag etc.
Judges - host, Japan(for example), it's a well-known fact
Crowd's pressure - offten a fighter from a smaller organisation burns out mentally, and as a result of that also physically, during his debut in a bigger organisation.
Fights of the evening - I advice you to stay away from them.
Appearance in weigh-in - it's not body-building contest but a bump over the hips may suggest something(not including Fedor)
Underdogs - as you can see usually I look for chances in fighters who are less known and favoured by the bookies, that you can make more money on. In the long run this strategy brings profits.
You should try to choose the fighter who fights smart, who knows what he wants, and not overhyped renegade who just wants to give a good show.
There are a few more tips but for now I will leave them for myself.
source: www.mma4life.pl - analysis, picks & contests
Last edited by saku lbn; 05-08-2008 at 07:09 AM.
|05-08-2008, 09:56 PM||#2|
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That was a really meaningless post, and didn't really make much sense. If you are gonna come here and copy and paste from another site, then at least explain that you are a spastic so that people like me won't bag on you like this.
|05-09-2008, 09:37 AM||#4|
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|05-09-2008, 01:50 PM||#5|
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