Rounds 1-3: The feeling out process begins. Pavlik will look to establish the jab, while Sergio figures out what he has to do to get inside. Kelly will keep him at bay most of the time though, reinstituting the jab that he didn't use vs. Espino. Martinez will land a few hooks and even possibly drive Kelly back a little.
Rounds 4-6: Pavlik will continue to jab-right hand combo, with a few more landing now, and may possibly hurt Sergio, but not drop him yet. Sergio will get inside and make it a war for these rounds, and I think this portion of the fight will see the best action, with both guys really going at it.
Rounds 7-9: Both guys will slow down considerably after trading alot of shots in rounds 5 and 6, and they might even grab and hold a little, but Pavlik should out muscle him and push him back to the outside where he will continue to work. Sergio will get a little lazy on his defense and may be behind in the cards enough to the point where he will start throwing big punches followed by some inside holding. But eventually, he will let his guard down enough where Kelly will throw a big straight right and do serious damage. He will finish the fight in round 8 or 9.
I think this fight will be great while it lasts. And Martinez, if his stamina miraculously doesn't decrease dramatically in the mid-late rounds, could pull off a decision win. But I just think he will eventually get careless and wilt under the pressure of Pavlik.
Just my prediction. Please feel free to respond with your own idea of how this fight plays out.
Rounds 4-6: Pavlik will continue to jab-right hand combo, with a few more landing now, and may possibly hurt Sergio, but not drop him yet. Sergio will get inside and make it a war for these rounds, and I think this portion of the fight will see the best action, with both guys really going at it.
Rounds 7-9: Both guys will slow down considerably after trading alot of shots in rounds 5 and 6, and they might even grab and hold a little, but Pavlik should out muscle him and push him back to the outside where he will continue to work. Sergio will get a little lazy on his defense and may be behind in the cards enough to the point where he will start throwing big punches followed by some inside holding. But eventually, he will let his guard down enough where Kelly will throw a big straight right and do serious damage. He will finish the fight in round 8 or 9.
I think this fight will be great while it lasts. And Martinez, if his stamina miraculously doesn't decrease dramatically in the mid-late rounds, could pull off a decision win. But I just think he will eventually get careless and wilt under the pressure of Pavlik.
Just my prediction. Please feel free to respond with your own idea of how this fight plays out.