the only manner in which Cotto can win is to now allow Mayweather to get off first.
I broke down this fight for Cotto awhile back, but my post history only goes back 100 curiously and I really didn't want to re-write the novel I posted.
Anyways, Cotto can't circle Floyd at any point. Floyd loves to throw the lead right hand or the lead left hook. They are his two best punches and it allows him to dictate what he does next. So the key is to not let him do that.
He has to double up and even triple up the jab that allows him to close the gap and throw body punches. He has to be willing to commit to a sustained body attack. Similar to the Calderon/Segura I fight. Calderon was/is to smooth to be consistently tagged up top, so Segura just hit whatever it was that he was able to, eventually he got through.
Cotto also has to have a B and C plan. Eventually Floyd will adjust to the double and triple jabs and will wait/cover up and allow Cotto to finish, then counter and step away, so Cotto will need to similarly adjust. I've noticed that Floyd loves to move and pivot to his left when exiting his defensive position, so Cotto will have to move to his right to have a chance to catch him.
Cotto's right hand has been on the comeback trail following the should surgery after the Foreman fight, so when Floyd steps to his left, Cotto will need to shoot that right and quickly throw the left to the body because Floyd will be able to see that right hand coming.
Lastly, Floyd's lack of consistent mobility now and days is of benefit to Cotto, so that Cotto can tie him up, wrestle him a bit and not let him get off first, although this tactic wouldn't be the overall best because Floyd is lightning fast enough to throw those rights after the break
I broke down this fight for Cotto awhile back, but my post history only goes back 100 curiously and I really didn't want to re-write the novel I posted.
Anyways, Cotto can't circle Floyd at any point. Floyd loves to throw the lead right hand or the lead left hook. They are his two best punches and it allows him to dictate what he does next. So the key is to not let him do that.
He has to double up and even triple up the jab that allows him to close the gap and throw body punches. He has to be willing to commit to a sustained body attack. Similar to the Calderon/Segura I fight. Calderon was/is to smooth to be consistently tagged up top, so Segura just hit whatever it was that he was able to, eventually he got through.
Cotto also has to have a B and C plan. Eventually Floyd will adjust to the double and triple jabs and will wait/cover up and allow Cotto to finish, then counter and step away, so Cotto will need to similarly adjust. I've noticed that Floyd loves to move and pivot to his left when exiting his defensive position, so Cotto will have to move to his right to have a chance to catch him.
Cotto's right hand has been on the comeback trail following the should surgery after the Foreman fight, so when Floyd steps to his left, Cotto will need to shoot that right and quickly throw the left to the body because Floyd will be able to see that right hand coming.
Lastly, Floyd's lack of consistent mobility now and days is of benefit to Cotto, so that Cotto can tie him up, wrestle him a bit and not let him get off first, although this tactic wouldn't be the overall best because Floyd is lightning fast enough to throw those rights after the break
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