Well. I very rarely use this word, unless I feel it's necessary. This fight, IMO, is a mismatch. I like Chavez Jr. I really do. I think he's improved too, over the years. BUT, size advantage or no, size advantage, this is a mismatch, IMO. Based on styles, Chavez is chronically outgunned IMO. Yes, he's strong, is a good body puncher, and takes a decent shot. But, the foot and hand speed advantage Martinez has, is astronomical.
Martinez is also very awkward with his herky jerky lateral movement and angles, and his constant movement. Chavez is a solid fighter, he really is. But he is not going to be able to plow forward onto Sergio, like he's been able to against guys like Lee and Rubio. Yes, Lee was a southpaw who boxed. But, Lee is a much stiffer, straight up and down "Kronk" style of fighter, who doesn't use the same kind of movement and angles Martinez utilizes. And, is nowhere close to as fast as Martinez with his footwork.
I literally, just do not see how Chavez is going to be able to find Martinez, he's just going to be plodding forward looking to get inside and get his body punches off on a very elusive target (who's even more elusive to the body), meanwhile getting peppered with fast, clean and hard combinations. It might not seem as bad right now, in terms of the foot and hand speed gap, but wait until fight night, mark my words, it's going to be staggering. I honestly can't think of a better style match up for Martinez at the moment.
I'm not trying to sound like I'm bashing Chavez, because I'm not. I just can't think of a worse style match up for him, then Martinez. I think this whole "Great fight" thing, is an optical illusion. Now, I could be wrong, we'll find out. I'll accept that I'm wrong if it turns out that way. But, as of right now from what I'm seeing. I don't see it going past 6 or 7 rounds. 8 or 9 rounds maximum. BUT, to make an exact prediciton, I see MArtinez brutally stopping Chavez in about the 4th round. Yup, you heard right. Also, I'm not a fan of either really, so this is a neutral standpoint from me. Just my two cents on this guys.
Martinez is also very awkward with his herky jerky lateral movement and angles, and his constant movement. Chavez is a solid fighter, he really is. But he is not going to be able to plow forward onto Sergio, like he's been able to against guys like Lee and Rubio. Yes, Lee was a southpaw who boxed. But, Lee is a much stiffer, straight up and down "Kronk" style of fighter, who doesn't use the same kind of movement and angles Martinez utilizes. And, is nowhere close to as fast as Martinez with his footwork.
I literally, just do not see how Chavez is going to be able to find Martinez, he's just going to be plodding forward looking to get inside and get his body punches off on a very elusive target (who's even more elusive to the body), meanwhile getting peppered with fast, clean and hard combinations. It might not seem as bad right now, in terms of the foot and hand speed gap, but wait until fight night, mark my words, it's going to be staggering. I honestly can't think of a better style match up for Martinez at the moment.
I'm not trying to sound like I'm bashing Chavez, because I'm not. I just can't think of a worse style match up for him, then Martinez. I think this whole "Great fight" thing, is an optical illusion. Now, I could be wrong, we'll find out. I'll accept that I'm wrong if it turns out that way. But, as of right now from what I'm seeing. I don't see it going past 6 or 7 rounds. 8 or 9 rounds maximum. BUT, to make an exact prediciton, I see MArtinez brutally stopping Chavez in about the 4th round. Yup, you heard right. Also, I'm not a fan of either really, so this is a neutral standpoint from me. Just my two cents on this guys.
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