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Manny Pacquiao opens as huge betting favorite

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  • Manny Pacquiao opens as huge betting favorite

    Philippine Congressman (Liberal Party, Sarangani Province) and boxing's pound-for-pound king Manny "Pacman" Pacquiao (51-3-2) is being considered by casinos as heavily favored to defeat Mexico's Antonio "Tijuana" Tornado (38-6) in their November 13th fight.

    "Pacman" is favored with odds of -525 at the betting site bodog.com, meaning a bettor would need to risk $525 (USD) in order to win $100. In a July column, we estimated Pacquiao's odds to settle at around, or below, -450 closer to November 13.

    In the Filipino's proposed fight with Floyd "Money" Mayweather, Jr (41-0), Mayweather was considered a slight favorite at -150 with Pacquiao's chances pegged at +120 at betus.com. (I.e., a $150 bet for Mayweather would have been required to win $100 against Pacquiao.) Top Rank's Bob Arum has suggested that super-fight may be possible for May 2011.


    Interestingly, heavyweight champion Wladimir Klitschko (54-3) holds a much wider betting spread (relative to Pacquiao-Margarito) against Samuel Peter (34-3) in their September 11 clash in Frankfurt, Germany. Klitschko currently sits at -900 with Samuel Peter, who recently got back in stellar physical shape, at +550.

    The current betting odds favoring Pacquiao may gravitate towards a more reasonable range of -450 to -400 closer to fight time, depending on the efficacy of each fighter's training camps and mental state. Margarito recently won a unanimous decision against Roberto Garcia (28-3) in Mexico this past May. On the other hand, since defeating Ghanaian Joshua Clottey (35-4) in March, Pacquiao has maintained a hectic non-boxing schedule with his new congressional role in his native Philippines.

    Manny Pacquiao's current betting odds of -525 is probably influenced by a phenomenon in betting where gamblers roll with the trendy hot streak. While the Filipino has won his last 12 fights (since 2005), oddsmakers appear to have discounted Margarito's record of having thrown the most number of punches in a 12 round bout in the history of boxing: 1,675. The Mexican hurled this many blows, 1,675 punches estimated by CompuBox, in a unanimous decision victory against Joshua Clottey in 2006.

    The two-fisted whirlwind has been an unstoppable train wreck, defeating five prospective future hall of famers (Erik Morales twice, Marco Antonio Barrera, Juan Manuel Marquez, Oscar de la Hoya, and Ricky Hatton) in that 12 fight winning streak alone.

    Margarito, who stands at 5'11" with a 73" reach, represents a dangerous fight for the southpaw, recently observed Pacquiao's conditioning coach Alex Ariza. Both boxers will vie for the vacant World Boxing Council (WBC) light middleweight title belt at a catchweight of 150 lbs, representing Pacman's eight title attempt in as many weight classes.

    The bout is expected to take place at the new $1.2 billion Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas.


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  • #2
    What???? Margarito is a joke of an opponent? Here I was this whole time thinking it was a pick 'ems fight.

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Gordon Gekko View Post
      What???? Margarito is a joke of an opponent? Here I was this whole time thinking it was a pick 'ems fight.
      Why dude? You really believe this is a great fight?

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      • #4
        -525?!?!?!? **** that

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Big Dunn View Post
          Why dude? You really believe this is a great fight?
          Hell yeah I do.

          I love catchweight title fights. The suspense of wondering if he'd be just as good at 154 really intrigues me.

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          • #6
            I'd bet $5000 to $1000 that Pac will win, easy $1000

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            • #7
              Originally posted by Gordon Gekko View Post
              Hell yeah I do.

              I love catchweight title fights. The suspense of wondering if he'd be just as good at 154 really intrigues me.
              You almost had me. I bet Cheato's purse went to Jerry Jones so he could pay off the comission to get his liscence in Texas.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by Big Dunn View Post
                You almost had me. I bet Cheato's purse went to Jerry Jones so he could pay off the comission to get his liscence in Texas.
                That wouldn't surprise me at all.

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                • #9
                  hmmm........

                  might put a couple hundred on marg.

                  you never know.......

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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Left Hook Tua View Post
                    hmmm........

                    might put a couple hundred on marg.

                    you never know.......
                    No you wont you staright up lying mother****er.

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