Obama has 201 pretty sure/likely electoral votes. Romney has 191 right now.
Nevada, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, Obama is predicted to win and is up decently in those states. If he won those, it would take him to 258 electoral votes.
North Carolina and Florida, Romney has a decent lead and is predicted to win those. That would take him to 235 electoral votes.
That would leave Colorado, Virgina, Ohio, and New Hampshire. Colorado and Virgina are super super close in the polls. If Romney wants to win, he'd have to take those states for sure as well, which very well could happen. Those would take him to 257, and he'd still have to win Ohio. Obama could win Colorado and New Hampshire, lose Virgina and Ohio, and still win the election.
Obama is going to win. I'm predicting 294 electoral votes for Obama and 244 for Romney.
Last edited by 4Corners; 11-05-2012 at 02:05 AM.