I think it's a competitive fight for four or five rounds before Manny puts a beating on Ortiz. He has no jab and throws wide shots while also being a come forward fighter. Manny would have a field day with this guy. If Ortiz had better boxing skills I would agree that he would cause a lot of problems for Manny but he doesn't.
Exciting fight until Manny takes over. Ortiz would get a worse beating than Cotto in my opinion.