Originally Posted by ThePhantom5
This aint a Chavez Jr. hate thread.
So leave the Jr. is a bum comments at the door.
I respect Jr.'s size and strength. Also he's made some noticeable technical improvements over the last 5 or so fights.
Why will Lee beat Jr.?
Lee will not a have a big size disadvantage like every single prior Chavez opponent. He comes in around 175. Jr will probably be 180.
Lee will box and not allow Jr. to tee off on the inside. He will clinch if that happens.
Andy is probably the biggest puncher Chavez has fought so far.
Lee is tall and lanky 6'2 with a great reach.
And probably the most important.
Andy Lee is by far and away the best Southpaw Chavez has ever seen in his 45 fight career. And I think only the third.
Sorry Sergio, Lee beats Chavez.
Get on board.
Everything you said makes perfect sense and this is how you would think the fight should go.
However, we've all been down this road many times...I don't think Andy Lee is capable of knocking out Chavez, or dominating 9+ rounds, which he is going to have to do.
Lee should win, on paper, and stylistically...But I think there will be other factors beyond Andy's control that will come into play on fight night.
I've said it before about this fight, I think the scorecards are already filled out, regardless of what either fighter does in the ring, it will be a Chavez victory