I swear I hate how Guerrero squares up, I think this right here should be a blessing, I hope he studies his mistakes and comes back stronger. Initially I liked Guerrero because of his aggressiveness, his right hook, I liked how he worked inside, his ability to box however has never sat well with me, it's good to change ones approach but when you don't excel too well at one thing, it's best to do as very little of it as possible. His boxing is terrible, brings his right hand back low, as you said...he's squared up for the right hand, when he came out like that I knew how it was gonna end. It wasn't that style of Guerrero I fell in love with.
Guerrero put up a valiant effort... He just didn't have enough.
As soon as I looked at Fernando's positioning (his angles and distance), I said "Wow... he's taking a terrible angle to defend against Quillin's offense and he's dangerously close." From Quillin's point of view, he was almost squared up in his power alley (even the slickest, quickest defense specialists would find it tough to defend from that position). Add in the disparity in strength (huge) and that PQ was just as quick and fast as Guerrero and you have a disaster waiting to happen. All Fernando could do with that deficit is bite down and try to outwork him... He tried that, but he was bound to get caught doing it.
If Hunter trained him, he did a terrible job (he started the fight in terrible positioning). Ward is excellent at gaining great positioning and doesn't stop trying to get into it until he's in it and attacks, so it was disappointing to see Guerrero (and Khan for that matter) be almost oblivious to it.
Good observation. I attributed the fatigue to Quillin's style, but his fatigue could definitely be because of the weight.
He's looked similar in his last 2 fights against Winky and N'Dam, as far as moving around the ring, letting himself be pressed, looking for lead and counterpunching opportunities, setting traps, and just trying to conserve energy until he can go on the attack offensively.
Guerrero can take advantage of those lulls by using his speed and activity (might want to sneak in body shots to cause even more fatigue). He just needs to be aware of Quillin's traps and use his footwork to move away from Quillin's attacks. He should use his footwork for defense, no blocking, no upper body movement, unless he gets caught off guard.
Quillin is extremely dangerous, but he will give him plenty of opportunities to be in the fight; he just needs to take advantage of it and not get caught off guard.
Quillin is the goods, just that I thought Quillin looked fatigue for most of his last fight, much more flat footed as well. I don't know what the deal was but his performance against N'Jikam, those looked like clear signs of someone struggling to make the weight. Luckily for him N'Jikam's style is reckless, or that he was able to muster up enough strength to land those powerful lead left hooks. I'm sure you saw this as well. I mean N'Jikam still managed to make it somewhat close, competitive throughout which is shocking considering the many times he hit the canvas.
Guerrero could be inconsistent at times with his defense, so I shouldn't be shocked if Quillin manages to put him on the canvas a few times, but if he comes defensively responsible...I really like his chances to win.
After a fighter loses, let alone gets stopped, people are going to sleep on them.
I agree... Guerrero being the aggressor would give him his best chance at winning (PQ actually prefers boxing on the outside so he might not even have to do much). When he's the aggressor, he'll take the ring generalship and be able to fight at his best offensively and defensively. Where we differ is that I think he should be the aggressor but from the outside and only move to the inside to punch and then reset to the outside. You might be underestimating Quillin though DS. Guerrero's going to have to perform as he never has before to get the W.
He could because his style matches up well against Quillin's, but he's going to have to attack and defend intelligently (Virgil has to have tailored his training for this). Peter's style/stamina forces him to fight in short bursts, but those bursts are quick, powerful, explosive, and are just damaging. Fernando will have the speed and activity advantage and is going to be forced to use that to overcome Quillin's strength and power advantage.
I can see FG outworking PQ en route to a decision win, but, like you said, Fernando will have to be extremely sharp, defensively aware, be able to get his respect, and take what Quillin is going to, eventually, land. If Fernando wins, it'll have to be (somewhat) easy because if Quillin hurts him once, it'll be extremely tough for him to survive an entire fight after that.
Argenis definitely impressed... Looked strong and was more aggressive than usual. He finally realized that he actually has power and doesn't have to be a slick boxer all the time. Not sure what if he's going to move up immediately or stay at 130 for some time, but he can be a titleholder for a while there and he's big enough to be able to give that division a problem.
Near 2 months? That's what's up D. A lot of fun can take place in 1 month, let alone 2. I went for a month and a half during December and all of January... Had a great time too.